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Old 05-22-2018, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Austin
12,209 posts, read 6,942,598 times
Reputation: 13446

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Reuters Polling

by 6%!

wow. what a flip. this reuters poll was as of 5/20/2018.
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Old 05-22-2018, 12:43 PM
 
Location: Houston
5,412 posts, read 2,739,414 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by texan2yankee View Post
Reuters Polling

by 6%!

wow. what a flip. this reuters poll was as of 5/20/2018.
The only one that matters will be counted on election day. All others are guesswork at best, even ones that favor Democrats.
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Old 05-22-2018, 01:15 PM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
1,561 posts, read 744,703 times
Reputation: 1668
538 has an article on the implications if Republicans hold onto both chambers of Congress after the midterms. Among other impacts, this scenario would likely finally force Democrats to overhaul their House leadership, and the media would reassess how their coverage is truly reflecting what is happening across the country.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...se-and-senate/

My thoughts are that it may actually benefit Trump's re-election prospects if Democrats capture at least one chamber in 2018 (probably the House). Having an enemy to run against comes naturally to him, and that doesn't work quite as well if Democrats are powerless. But who knows what will happen ... the only sure bet is that the nation will remain polarized with little regard for the opposition on either side.
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Old 05-22-2018, 01:20 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
13,645 posts, read 8,559,902 times
Reputation: 19857
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
538 has an article on the implications if Republicans hold onto both chambers of Congress after the midterms. Among other impacts, this scenario would likely finally force Democrats to overhaul their House leadership, and the media would reassess how their coverage is truly reflecting what is happening across the country.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...se-and-senate/

My thoughts are that it may actually benefit Trump's re-election prospects if Democrats capture at least one chamber in 2018 (probably the House). Having an enemy to run against comes naturally to him, and that doesn't work quite as well if Democrats are powerless. But who knows what will happen ... the only sure bet is that the nation will remain polarized with little regard for the opposition on either side.
I'm sure you know this, but having control of both houses does not mean the Democrats will be "powerless". Republicans control both houses today, and the Democrats are still able to obstruct and stall.


A REAL victory would occur if Republicans increased their position in both houses!
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Old 05-22-2018, 01:25 PM
 
7,053 posts, read 2,508,676 times
Reputation: 3564
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
538 has an article on the implications if Republicans hold onto both chambers of Congress after the midterms. Among other impacts, this scenario would likely finally force Democrats to overhaul their House leadership, and the media would reassess how their coverage is truly reflecting what is happening across the country.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...se-and-senate/

My thoughts are that it may actually benefit Trump's re-election prospects if Democrats capture at least one chamber in 2018 (probably the House). Having an enemy to run against comes naturally to him, and that doesn't work quite as well if Democrats are powerless. But who knows what will happen ... the only sure bet is that the nation will remain polarized with little regard for the opposition on either side.
I agree with you. If the Dems take the House it would probably help Trump in 2020. It gives him more of a real threat he can point to, and there will be a tendency of the left base to overreact and pressure the Dem House Leadership to really go after Trump, which could boomerang with Independent voters.
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Old 05-22-2018, 01:31 PM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
1,561 posts, read 744,703 times
Reputation: 1668
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
I'm sure you know this, but having control of both houses does not mean the Democrats will be "powerless". Republicans control both houses today, and the Democrats are still able to obstruct and stall.


A REAL victory would occur if Republicans increased their position in both houses!
Yes, I'm aware the minority party in the Senate can use tactics against the non-filibuster proof majority and certain legislation requires 60 affirmative votes rather than 50. With all the Republican retirements in purple districts, I don't see their House majority growing larger, but they could certainly pick up Senate seats just by beating incumbents in states that strongly supported the president.
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Old 05-22-2018, 01:56 PM
 
7,053 posts, read 2,508,676 times
Reputation: 3564
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
I'm sure you know this, but having control of both houses does not mean the Democrats will be "powerless". Republicans control both houses today, and the Democrats are still able to obstruct and stall.


A REAL victory would occur if Republicans increased their position in both houses!
They could easily add seats in the Senate, but they’ll be hard pressed to add seats in the House because they already hold most of the marginal seats.
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Old 05-22-2018, 02:03 PM
 
4,621 posts, read 4,738,364 times
Reputation: 5756
The so-called "Blue Wave" was always a fiction of the DNC & the media. The GOP should get 4-6 new seats in the Senate easily. The GOP might pick up 5 or 6 seats in the House, or lose 5 or 6 seats.....Trump is too popular & the economy is too good to derail the status quo unless something big comes down the pike.
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Old 05-22-2018, 02:09 PM
 
5,428 posts, read 1,542,035 times
Reputation: 2264
This is incredible.
Its like the mainstream media doesn't even reside in America.
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Old 05-22-2018, 02:22 PM
 
18,120 posts, read 11,118,420 times
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As a Democrat, this is not great news but it does have an upside. Trump and the country will have had one party rule/dictatorship for four years. They will own every single thing that happens. Trump loves having something to run against and he would have absolutely nothing to run against since he will be responsible for every single thing that happens. We can run ads reminding the country that Trump promised everyone would have health care and the government was going to pay for it. We can run ads showing how much Trump has enriched himself while in office by hosting government meetings and foreign dignitaries on his own properties. Trump and Kushner are doing all kinds of shenanigans with foreign countries, so hopefully that will be public.

By then, I'm guessing blue states will hate the red states so much that they will not hire their residents, will not do business with them and the country will be on the verge of splitting. So with every downside, there's an upside.
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