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Old 05-26-2018, 07:53 AM
 
Location: Atlanta metro (Cobb County)
3,096 posts, read 2,159,308 times
Reputation: 4094

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Quote:
Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
no. a 13 point win was always unrealistic. 2010 was a wave year and the spread was 6.8.

as far as i can tell, not a single competitive seat has gone closer the republican side

so we are back to debating national popular vote vs district votes. Districts in Southern California, New Jersey, Texas, Pennsylvania and North Carolina are going to decide the house, not districts in new york or Oklahoma were they run up the margins.
New York has a few competitive districts - Democrats are trying to defeat Faso in the 19th and Tenney in the 22nd, both areas which voted for Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016. Upstate New York where both districts are located is more of a purple area like Michigan or Pennsylvania than ultra-blue NYC.
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Old 05-26-2018, 09:52 AM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,378 posts, read 17,044,373 times
Reputation: 37035
Fortunately, the media is not reporting the decline in the Democratic party. Since most Democrats are not well informed, they will continue to read headlines only, and those headlines will continue to hammer away at Trump with an emphasis on impeachment.



So Democrats, thinking they have won, will not vote.
And Republicans will win.
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Old 05-26-2018, 09:54 AM
 
Location: Free State of Texas
20,396 posts, read 12,692,500 times
Reputation: 2482
Quote:
Originally Posted by treebeard View Post
this is what the democrats offer: Return to government accountability, respect for the constitution and rule of law, fiscal sanity, environmental protections, and a check on a rogue white house.

This is just a few benefits.

What do you get with republicans?


More corruption, more swamp, more insanity, more debt, more environmental degradation, more constitutional crisis.
lol!!!
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Old 05-26-2018, 10:42 AM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,437 posts, read 16,355,134 times
Reputation: 5948
Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
New York has a few competitive districts - Democrats are trying to defeat Faso in the 19th and Tenney in the 22nd, both areas which voted for Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016. Upstate New York where both districts are located is more of a purple area like Michigan or Pennsylvania than ultra-blue NYC.
I'm not sure if you are trying to be really specific or if you honestly just didn't get my point, but ill clarify.


This isn't about NY8, which the Democrat won with 93% of the vote and whether or not they keep that margin, it is about Districts like Texas 23 where the margins the last 10 years have been less than 10% and both parties have held the seat.
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Old 05-26-2018, 10:43 AM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,437 posts, read 16,355,134 times
Reputation: 5948
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Once again we see this week the DNC ticking off a large number of people they need to win.

They will never learn.
I haven't heard anyone mention the DNC this week, what are you hearing that they did ?
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Old 05-26-2018, 11:18 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 43,940,599 times
Reputation: 17189
Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
Machin is up 13 in the WV senate race, thought this was going to be close. More empirical data of a blue wave.
I've noted all along that Manchin would win regardless of who won the (R) primary.
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Old 05-26-2018, 11:19 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 43,940,599 times
Reputation: 17189
Quote:
Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
I haven't heard anyone mention the DNC this week, what are you hearing that they did ?
We even discussed it here.

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/...sements-607799
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Old 05-26-2018, 01:17 PM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,437 posts, read 16,355,134 times
Reputation: 5948
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
I don't read all comments, so I missed it.

What exactly is your problem here , may I ask ?
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Old 05-26-2018, 02:06 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 43,940,599 times
Reputation: 17189
Quote:
Originally Posted by dsjj251 View Post
I don't read all comments, so I missed it.

What exactly is your problem here , may I ask ?
I have no dog in the hunt as far as the race goes but for me, it would be the lying.
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Old 05-26-2018, 02:32 PM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,437 posts, read 16,355,134 times
Reputation: 5948
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
I have no dog in the hunt as far as the race goes but for me, it would be the lying.
The actual quote says the "DCCC" should not endorse in primaries, to be clear, a DCCC endorsement comes with monetary benefits and campaign infrastructure.

DNC =/= DCCC

and even if it did, Tom Perez himself is not the DNC, he is an individual and is not putting the DNCs infrastructure behind the candidate.

I see this as people twisting Perez's words or flat out not understanding the difference between an individual endorsing and the entire party doing so.
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