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Old 06-13-2018, 07:27 PM
 
Location: NC
5,116 posts, read 1,807,334 times
Reputation: 2374

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Timmyy View Post
I think he will get primaried. If not, he will win.
where have I heard this before?

 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:28 PM
 
2,672 posts, read 1,100,846 times
Reputation: 2514
I don't know, but I'm willing to guess it will be even more polarized than 2016. Urban and suburban areas will go even further left - while rural areas will go further right.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:29 PM
 
10,466 posts, read 3,946,632 times
Reputation: 5127
If the Democrats nominate some sort of far-left nut-job, such as Bernie Sanders or Kamala Harris, Trump will win in 2020 easily.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:29 PM
 
Location: Houston
22,390 posts, read 11,528,544 times
Reputation: 9006
A Sanders type has a better chance than a centrist. People are still going to want change
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:30 PM
 
Location: Austin
12,039 posts, read 6,878,278 times
Reputation: 13304
Yes.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:30 PM
 
2,672 posts, read 1,100,846 times
Reputation: 2514
Quote:
Originally Posted by wit-nit View Post
No, Republican key people are starting to distance themselves from him. They want to bring America back to sanity again.
No they aren't unfortunately. It's true - Trump could literally shoot someone and still win 80% of the rural vote.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:31 PM
 
Location: Chicago Area
8,006 posts, read 4,177,578 times
Reputation: 3016
Way to early to tell. Might as well ask when humans will setup a colony on Mars.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:32 PM
 
6,428 posts, read 2,737,685 times
Reputation: 7760
I give him greater than 50/50 odds as of today.

Democrats could lose especially if a Green Candidate siphons off enough votes.

Trump will never win a majority vote. It would be another popular vote loss and electoral college victory.


It will be sad day for America and the world if he does.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:33 PM
 
10,466 posts, read 3,946,632 times
Reputation: 5127
Quote:
Originally Posted by whogo View Post
A Sanders type has a better chance than a centrist. People are still going to want change
They are not going to want to go full commie, which is what they will perceive they are going to get from the self-styled socialist, Bernie Sanders.

Sanders will not win. Of course for him to even have the opportunity, he will have to go all-in and embrace the Democrat party with both arms, as that is what the new rules require to run for the party nomination.

If Sanders runs as an independent, he will destroy the Democrats chances to win, and have exactly zero chance to win on his own.
 
Old 06-13-2018, 07:41 PM
 
1,679 posts, read 577,075 times
Reputation: 1291
Quote:
Originally Posted by Timmyy View Post
I think he will get primaried. If not, he will win.
Odd hedge.

It all depends on if there is a recession in 2020, which some are predicting.

That's a reasonable hedge.

Now I'll go out and make a prediction. I don't see large scale capital misallocation going on now, so I don't think there will be a recession in 2020, and I think Trump will be reelected. So there I predicted both the business and political cycle, sue me.
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