U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 08-01-2018, 10:26 AM
 
15,357 posts, read 17,616,116 times
Reputation: 13488

Advertisements

The US Senate race in TX is tightening per the latest poll released Wed 8/1/2018.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ke-a-dead-heat

Texas Senate race between Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) is neck and neck, according to a new poll released Wednesday.The 2018 Texas Lyceum Poll showed Cruz leading O'Rourke by a hair — 41-39 percent among likely voters.

O'Rourke reported a staggering $10.4 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of the 2018 cycle.

Cruz, raised about $4.1 million in the second quarter.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 08-01-2018, 10:40 AM
 
9,764 posts, read 3,166,336 times
Reputation: 4053
cute
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 10:55 AM
 
Location: In your head, rent free
14,320 posts, read 7,698,186 times
Reputation: 7254
Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
The US Senate race in TX is tightening per the latest poll released Wed 8/1/2018.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ke-a-dead-heat

Texas Senate race between Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) is neck and neck, according to a new poll released Wednesday.The 2018 Texas Lyceum Poll showed Cruz leading O'Rourke by a hair ó 41-39 percent among likely voters.

O'Rourke reported a staggering $10.4 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of the 2018 cycle.

Cruz, raised about $4.1 million in the second quarter.
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?


Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 10:57 AM
 
7,090 posts, read 2,516,831 times
Reputation: 3586
Other Republicans are winning their races easily according to the poll. Cruz appears to be in a dogfight, at least in comparison with Greg Abbott and other Republicans running for other offices. I don’t expect Beto to win, but it’s an interesting race.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 11:28 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
19,032 posts, read 15,484,400 times
Reputation: 3956
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?

There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 11:33 AM
 
3,393 posts, read 4,336,862 times
Reputation: 2230
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?

Did you read the actual poll results before posting?


Clinton actually had a higher percentage of the votes in 2106 than the D is currently polling. The main problem is Cruz's unpopularity. He has pissed off both those across the aisle and fair number of those in his base- both moederate Rs and Trump supporters. Importantly the race stands at 41-39 so in the end that favors Cruz since so many of the undecided would be R in Texas.


I actually believe that voter breakdown simply because so many consistent R voters have been declaring themselves independents whether they are simply fed up with the party, further to the right than the Republican party or view themselves as Libertarian. They continue to vote R but they shed their party affiliation. Lou Dobbs and a couple of other talking heads were encouraging this a few years back.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 11:51 AM
 
9,764 posts, read 3,166,336 times
Reputation: 4053
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
not really. Most show Cruz comfortably ahead


but I keep hearing Texas is turning blue every year so maybe the libs prediction will finally come true lol
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 01:34 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
71,964 posts, read 83,625,334 times
Reputation: 41769
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
Other Republicans are winning their races easily according to the poll. Cruz appears to be in a dogfight, at least in comparison with Greg Abbott and other Republicans running for other offices. I donít expect Beto to win, but itís an interesting race.
It is going to be interesting, but I hope those who are counting on the polls being right don't go to Vegas and start gambling on who will win the race.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 01:35 PM
 
15,357 posts, read 17,616,116 times
Reputation: 13488
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate.
What's the weighting on the poll? That's the other half (weighting) that you didn't paste and it's just as important in determining whether the polled people match the electorate.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 08-01-2018, 01:36 PM
 
Location: In your head, rent free
14,320 posts, read 7,698,186 times
Reputation: 7254
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
Because the polling data shows that they polled an even 50/50 split Dems and Reps plus some independents when in reality there is a heavy bias towards Reps in TX as far as likely voters are concerned. Of course it would be a dead heat if you specifically poll a 50/50 split of each party. If the polling data represented the actual makeup of the TX electorate it would show Ted Cruz well ahead, just like he's been for months. Beto is raking in cash from out of state because Ted Cruz is a huge target for Democrats.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2019, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 - Top