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12th in Ohio looking like another Democrat "almost win." The race is extremely close in a district that went Repub 66-30 in 2016. Win or lose the "blue wave" is very much in effect here.
I saw a blurb somewhere that indicated both candidates will have to do this again in November? Is that right?
12th in Ohio looking like another Democrat "almost win." The race is extremely close in a district that went Repub 66-30 in 2016. Win or lose the "blue wave" is very much in effect here.
Democrats are definitely more enthusiastic than the GOP, which counts for something. I'm not convinced, however, that there will be a blue wave or if things will be more like a blue puddle.
Whether each side eeks out a narrow victory, I don't see the result as a sign of things to come in November. One thing I've seen in these special elections is that turnout is generally always lower than in a general election in a normal scheduled election year, and that's holding true now. But we are seeing increased enthusiasm among Dem voters (that's indisputable). Still, this increased enthusiasm is only enough to barely get Dems over the line in cycles where GOP turnout is at its typical "lows" for special elections. I am not confident (far from it, in fact) that such will hold true when turnout goes back up at the midterms. Not in these otherwise heavily GOP districts. This is even more so in heavily gerrymandered districts that favor the GOP due to last cycle's redistricting.
Balderson will win. 34% of vote in Delaware County still outstanding while 99% is in for Franklin County.
While I'm not that confident, I still say the Delaware County outstanding vote favors Balderson. Note, there's been yet another lead change, with Balderson leading.
Definitely a possibility given the closeness. I'd be curious to know what the recount law is in Ohio. I could look it up, but I'll wait for articles to be printed on it
I am wondering if the media's gearing up to release those articles as we speak.
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