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I saw this & immediately went to the poll to check the methodologically of the poll. They don't have it listed and the dem has a huge lead that I would have to think the poll is an outlyer, but it's a republican poll. So I have to think its a valid poll.
Assuming it s a valid poll, there is going to be a massive blue wave this fall. I can see the Democrats picking up 4 seats & keeping all of the ones they have. Democrats are also up 7 & 9 in the generic house poll, we have seen this number inch up lately in the last month.
Might need to revise the above, just saw a poll with the Democrat leading in the Mississippi race. Espy who commissioned the Poll is up 3 on (R) Hyde-Smith who is favored to win the republican nomination.
No polling data along with 35% of the people polled being 65 or older means its not a legit poll...35% of the population of Indiana is NOT 65 or older lol.
Might need to revise the above, just saw a poll with the Democrat leading in the Mississippi race. Espy who commissioned the Poll is up 3 on (R) Hyde-Smith who is favored to win the republican nomination.
Yeah, we all know that Hyde-Smith is not down by 3 in MS lol. I'm watching the polls closely, but something seems off about many, just like in 2016.
No polling data along with 35% of the people polled being 65 or older means its not a legit poll...35% of the population of Indiana is NOT 65 or older lol.
The age structure of the electorate is more important than the age structure of the total population. I don't know if 35% is accurate, but in Midwest states like Indiana, senior citizens comprise a greater % of the population than in other parts of the country. Furthermore, senior citizens vote at greater rates than younger people, so the 35% may not be off by all that much.
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Originally Posted by bellhead
I saw this & immediately went to the poll to check the methodologically of the poll. They don't have it listed and the dem has a huge lead that I would have to think the poll is an outlyer, but it's a republican poll. So I have to think its a valid poll.
Assuming it s a valid poll, there is going to be a massive blue wave this fall. I can see the Democrats picking up 4 seats & keeping all of the ones they have. Democrats are also up 7 & 9 in the generic house poll, we have seen this number inch up lately in the last month.
Might need to revise the above, just saw a poll with the Democrat leading in the Mississippi race. Espy who commissioned the Poll is up 3 on (R) Hyde-Smith who is favored to win the republican nomination.
Espy is well liked in Mississippi, there is a reason people saw that race as much closer than the other Senate race in the very same state.
Mississippi, like other Southern States, technically has enough black and white liberals to make any race a toss up, they just dont turn out and vote.
Espy is well liked in Mississippi, there is a reason people saw that race as much closer than the other Senate race in the very same state.
Mississippi, like other Southern States, technically has enough black and white liberals to make any race a toss up, they just dont turn out and vote.
If every black voter and every white liberal voter went to the polls, I'd agree with you. But that's only compared to the standard white conservative voter turnout.
On the flip side, if every white conservative voter went to the polls, the conservatives would still win comfortably in MS. Of course, for this particular election, I'm not seeing signs that black voters are particularly enthusiastic about voting.
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