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Or it might turn out to be a lanslide win for Blackburn. Probably best for you not to schedule anything yet yourself.
I don't believe that I have been predicting a winner in this or doing any chest pounding. I've just been saying that I think that it is going to be a close race.
I have said in multiple posts Bredesen will win this race. He is a popular former 2 term governor who managed to win a state wide race as a democrat. Blackburn has never run a statewide campaign & has never faced a candidate like Bredesen. Bredesen extensive experience in running a state wide, fundraising, and tons of political connections. Bob Corker not endorsing Blackburn tells you a lot about this race, as he is friends with Bredesen.
I do not believe that poll they credit to the NYTimes. This should go R easily given the partisan tilt of the state. But to swing to an 18 point lead is nonsensical. We'll wait until election day to see.
I think Kavanagh might be the final difference maker here- in terms of margin not victor. It energized conservatives just as more people started paying attention to their congressional races and Breseden indicated he would have been a yes on Kavanaugh. He supposedly lost actual volunteers for that.
Don't know how important this would be to Tennessee voters, but it was mentioned by one of the country music artists at the Music Modernization Act signing at the WH with President Trump that Marsha Blackburn has worked a long time on this issue.
Three more pieces of mail in my mailbox today screaming that if I vote for Phil Bredesen, horrible dire consequences will follow. Blackburn must be awfully nervous as the torrent of fear being promulgated is really overboard. Man, I can't wait for this to be all over.
This is going to come down to modeling of the polls. Like I said in another thread turnout is up above 2014 midterms and the polls are not adjusting to this
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