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Old 11-09-2018, 08:30 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
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What is historic is how poorly the Republicans did with the table set for them in the Senate like it was this year.
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Old 11-09-2018, 11:37 AM
 
Location: Buckeye, AZ
38,936 posts, read 23,894,142 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
Nelson's people are pretty confident he is going to win due to the outstanding ballots in South Florida, this is why Scott & the rest of the republicans are screaming bloody murder.
Similar to Arizona.
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Old 11-09-2018, 11:50 AM
 
5,278 posts, read 6,213,202 times
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If Nelson takes Florida I think the media is going to have to have severe moment of introspection and stop calling the 1 point races... I'll give credit to the folks in Arizona and California at least telling them to hold their horses and to expect updates at given times. I believe Arizona has promised daily 5pm number drops.
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Old 11-09-2018, 12:02 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,412,952 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
If Nelson takes Florida I think the media is going to have to have severe moment of introspection and stop calling the 1 point races... I'll give credit to the folks in Arizona and California at least telling them to hold their horses and to expect updates at given times. I believe Arizona has promised daily 5pm number drops.
Which media has called Florida for Scott? It was never called by any of the major media that I can see.
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Old 11-09-2018, 12:16 PM
 
5,278 posts, read 6,213,202 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Which media has called Florida for Scott? It was never called by any of the major media that I can see.
Hmm- I think you might be right about the actual giant 'xyz wins' screen but they all called it a pick up and seemed to imply he won. I might also have that thought because one of the Trump people was on TV calling it a win.


I'll fire up the google.
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Old 11-10-2018, 04:41 AM
 
Location: Buckeye, AZ
38,936 posts, read 23,894,142 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BELMO45 View Post
Thad’s why I said semi suspicious. It’s possible that drove it. I haven’t checked but someone posted they had more voters in Arizona than the 2016 election which I guess none of the other states had
Arizona had a vote surge in this election including more young people voting. I don't know about other states because I live in AZ and can only currently talk about AZ.
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Old 11-11-2018, 06:53 AM
 
Location: Buckeye, AZ
38,936 posts, read 23,894,142 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BELMO45 View Post
Thad’s why I said semi suspicious. It’s possible that drove it. I haven’t checked but someone posted they had more voters in Arizona than the 2016 election which I guess none of the other states had
Oh and another thing, it is as much of statistical outlier as Trump getting elected was for this to happen. If the Republicans lose two that means it what a net gain of two seats? Considering the math wasn't favorable for Democrats to win, that is an effective push or a Cleveland Browns win against the Steelers (a tie.)
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Old 11-11-2018, 07:01 AM
 
Location: Arizona
13,248 posts, read 7,312,118 times
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Democrat Kyrsten Sinema is going to win Arizona the last of the counts are coming in from DEM counties she holds s 20k plus lead many independent voters here typically vote GOP not this time. Most who I work with and know who usually vote GOP are not happy with Trump voted for Sinema. If Dems pick up AZ and one other state Senate will only be 48 to 51 going into 2020 not going to look good for GOP. If trump were to get impeached that would firmly put the white house in the hands of the DEMS.

Last edited by kell490; 11-11-2018 at 07:21 AM..
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Old 11-11-2018, 07:06 AM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,293,305 times
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As of now, it looks like a net gain of 2 Senate seats for the GOP, with the Democrats gaining 38 or 39 in the House, depending on how the second choice vote in ME-2 goes.
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Old 11-11-2018, 07:25 AM
 
33,316 posts, read 12,522,497 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
Democrat Kyrsten Sinema is going to win Arizona the last of the counts are coming in from DEM counties she holds s 20k plus lead. Many independent voters here I can tell you most who I work with and know who usually vote GOP are not happy with Trump voted for Sinema. If Dems pick up AZ and one other state Senate will only be 48 to 51 going into 2020 not going to look good for GOP. If trump were to get impeached that would firmly put the white house in the hands of the DEMS.
Wrong.

That only totals to 99, and there won't be 99 Senators going into the 2020 election unless a Senator dies or resigns right before the election.

If Sinema is certified as the winner in Arizona, and Nelson in Florida, both on or before November 26, then going into the November 27th, 2018 run off in Mississippi the 'new Senate' = 48 to 51 at that point. If the Republican in Mississippi wins the run off, the 'new Senate' (once seated) would be 48 to 52, and if the Democrat wins the Mississippi run off the total would be 49 to 51, with Republicans in the majority.
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