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Old 06-17-2008, 02:02 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,259,252 times
Reputation: 7103

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RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama
SurveyUSA Election Poll #14029

Good lord. Who thought Obama would put true-blue Minnie in play?

Now - look at the internals of the poll in the second link.

(R)30%, (D)35%, (I)30%. Much more balanced.
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Old 06-17-2008, 02:53 PM
 
29,352 posts, read 33,427,666 times
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RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Minnesota: McCain vs. Obama

RCP Average 05/12 - 06/16 -- 50.0 41.0 Obama +9.0
SurveyUSA 06/13 - 06/16 543 LV 47 46 Obama +1.0
Rasmussen 06/11 - 06/11 500 LV 52 39 Obama +13.0
Star Tribune 05/12 - 05/15 1117 RV 51 38 Obama +13.0

There were three other polls posted of different dates including the Rasmussen of 6/11 that has Obama up 13.
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Old 06-17-2008, 02:56 PM
 
29,352 posts, read 33,427,666 times
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RCP Average 05/12 - 06/16 -- 50.0 41.0 Obama +9.0
SurveyUSA 06/13 - 06/16 543 LV 47 46 Obama +1.0
Rasmussen 06/11 - 06/11 500 LV 52 39 Obama +13.0
SurveyUSA 05/16 - 05/18 600 RV 47 42 Obama +5.0
Rasmussen 05/22 - 05/22 500 LV 53 38 Obama +15.0
Star Tribune 05/12 - 05/15 1117 RV 51 38 Obama +13.0
Rasmussen 04/22 - 04/22 500 LV 52 38 Obama +14.0
SurveyUSA 04/11 - 04/13 535 RV 49 43 Obama +6.0
Rasmussen 03/19 - 03/19 500 LV 47 43 Obama +4.0
SurveyUSA 03/14 - 03/16 532 46 47 McCain +1.0
SurveyUSA 02/26 - 02/28 609 RV 49 42 Obama +7.0
Rasmussen 02/16 - 02/16 500 LV 53 38 Obama +15.0
Minn. Pub. Radio 01/20 - 01/27 917 A 50 37 Obama +13.0
SurveyUSA 01/20 - 01/21 550 RV 42 49 McCain +7.0
SurveyUSA 12/13 - 12/15 556 RV 41 50 McCain +9.0

These are all of the Minnesota polls found in the RCP site linked by the OP's initial post.
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Old 06-17-2008, 02:59 PM
 
4,828 posts, read 6,761,323 times
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How is it tied?
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Old 06-17-2008, 02:59 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,259,252 times
Reputation: 7103
Yes, but this is the newest one of the bunch. All the others are old, except for the Rasmussen one. And by your logic in the other thread, I'd say McCain is in the drivers seat.

Who could have imagined BLUE MN coming into play in such a dramatic fashion.

And since this poll is much more evenly divided by party affiliation, I'd say old Johnny Mac ain't doing too shabby.
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Old 06-17-2008, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,259,252 times
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Quote:
How is it tied?
If it's within the margin of error, it is considered a statistical tie, either way.
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Old 06-17-2008, 03:02 PM
 
Location: Austin
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Looks like Obama is up 9% to me.
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Old 06-17-2008, 03:04 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,259,252 times
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Not in this LATEST poll.

Admit it - you are surprised.
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Old 06-17-2008, 03:06 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
If it's within the margin of error, it is considered a statistical tie, either way.
Okay mccain is going to win minnesota, if that makes you sleep better at night.
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Old 06-17-2008, 03:07 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,259,252 times
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Yeah!! We win the WH then!
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