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Old 06-27-2008, 08:26 AM
 
454 posts, read 667,172 times
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This might help the poll obsessed posters.


The Wild Differences in These Polls, Explained - Yahoo! News (broken link)

Last edited by dmnari; 06-27-2008 at 09:04 AM..
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Old 06-27-2008, 08:40 AM
 
34,990 posts, read 33,858,849 times
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Important info to keep in mind - thanks for posting this!
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Old 06-27-2008, 08:45 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dmnari View Post
This might help for the poll obsessed posters.

The Wild Differences in These Polls, Explained - Yahoo! News (broken link)
Yes, interesting comment
"The first place that I look when I see these discrepancies, I look for the percentage of Republicans, Democrats and Independents in the sample. We know that the best predictor of how someone is going to vote is their party ID.

Same thing Sanrene has been saying for weeks here, but liberals dont care becayse it disputes their master leader Obama having a washout this year.

I'm all for these fake polls being put out to the public, the further ahead Obama shows in the polls, the less money he's able to raise and the less people show up to vote.
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Old 06-27-2008, 09:01 AM
 
Location: San Antonio North
4,147 posts, read 7,092,233 times
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Is this not what sanrene was saying?

And the Obama supporters were tearing her a new one.
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Old 06-27-2008, 09:04 AM
 
454 posts, read 667,172 times
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Yes, sanrene was the first one to catch this. They have been oversampling democrats all along, and reporting the polls as legitimate polls.

How pathetic, the media have lost all credibility.
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Old 06-27-2008, 09:07 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 38,474,749 times
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Here's some more "explanation".

Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/why_polls_sometimes_show_different_results - broken link)
Too large a Democratic advantage in new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll? | Top of the Ticket | Los Angeles Times

Seems they said the same thing in 2004 as 2008, although the gap between dems/reps was not so great.
An article from 2004 about polls that lean to a democrat;

Where independent pollsters and politicians diverge - Los Angeles Times (broken link)

It seems that pollsters ALWAYS have a bias towards the democrats, but it seems a 17-point gap is going a little too far and people will take notice of the disparity.
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Old 06-27-2008, 10:56 AM
 
29,462 posts, read 33,699,747 times
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Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)

The latest for your displeasure.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When "leaners" are included, Obama leads 49% to 45%. Three percent (3%) say they will vote for a third-party option while 4% remain undecided. Tracking poll results are updated at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time
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