The odds are in Obama's favor to win the election..its all about the electorial map. (crime, education)
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I think all this talk about Virginia, you all are overlooking the most obvious "red" state that Obama will pick up in November: Colorado.
If he wins CO, McCain is finished. Where would he pick up 270 electoral votes?
The problem I see with Colorado is voter apathy. Lots of people who talk about voting, but never get off the couch to actually do it. Hopefully the convention will be a pleasant memory for people and will get them more interested.
Here is a reason why the odds are in Obama's favor to win in November. If Obama wins all the states John Kerry won in 2004 and pick up Virgina and New Mexico, Obama will win the election by ONE ELECTORIAL VOTE. LOL thats almost a tie and I think if it were a tie, congress would then decide. In that case Obama would be selected as the president since the democrats control congress. But anyway all Obama has to do is pick up Virginia and New Mexico. Obama already leads in New Mexico by 10 points. Virginia is a toss up for the first time in decades, so Obama can taste victory. So you see thats why Obama has been focusing real hard on Virginia. The commonwealth of Virgina could very be the key to Obama's victory. There are several other ways Obama can win the election with or without Ohio so this election wont be like 2000 or 2004 where all eyes will be on Florida or Ohio. Obama appears to be slightly changing the electorial map in his favor as he said he would be able to do early on in the primaries. The country doesnt appear to be quite as divided as it was in 2000 and 2004. We can talk about national poll numbers til the cows come home but in the end its all about the electorial college vote and things look good for Obama.
you people and your stupid maps
Come Nov Obama and his media darlings
are toast!
Oh trust me, the grassroots of his campaign is unbelievable. The fundraising, the voter registration drives, and most of all, the dedication and enthusiasm of his supporters by far trumps McCain. My favorite part of his speech last week was when he said, "It's not about me, it's about you." So powerful.
Oh that was such a joke
it has ALWAYS been about him
The problem I see with Colorado is voter apathy. Lots of people who talk about voting, but never get off the couch to actually do it. Hopefully the convention will be a pleasant memory for people and will get them more interested.
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Your right but this election I don't think you will have that . Normally you do .
Yea the new polls show that the electoral map favors the democrats. based on polls, Obama now leads in Iowa by double digits. Iowa was won by republicans in 2004. Thats one republican state going to the democrats this year. Obama also has a pretty good lead in "purple states" such as Minnesota and Michigan. Obama leads in another state won by republicans in 2004 and thats New Mexico. Obama has a two point lead in Ohio and the poll analysist for CNN said that if Obama holds the states he currently leads in, excluding Ohio and pick up Virginia, Obama will win the presidency
I think all this talk about Virginia, you all are overlooking the most obvious "red" state that Obama will pick up in November: Colorado.
If he wins CO, McCain is finished. Where would he pick up 270 electoral votes?
Quote:
Originally Posted by normie
The problem I see with Colorado is voter apathy. Lots of people who talk about voting, but never get off the couch to actually do it. Hopefully the convention will be a pleasant memory for people and will get them more interested.
Following the reasoning that winning Colorado would be enough, if an interesting analysis reported in USA Today is right, it means the election could be decided in Arapahoe County, Colorado (immediately south of Denver, areas including parts of Littleton, Englewood, parts of Aurora, etc). If it's of any predictive value, there was no apathy in Arapahoe County for the democratic presidential primary caucuses; turnout was huge (and overwhelmingly for Obama over Hillary).
As USA Today's Susan Page writes, "The presidential contest between John McCain and Barack Obama this fall is likely to be settled in places such as Clackamas, Arapahoe and Geauga. Suburban counties including these — outside Portland, Denver and Cleveland, respectively — have become the hardest fought and most closely won battlegrounds of national elections."
Last edited by suzco; 09-03-2008 at 05:42 PM..
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