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Old 09-26-2008, 08:46 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 39,606,455 times
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Quote:
Gallup and Rasmussen have detailed listings of their methodologies. They are 2 of the most respected polling agencies in the country
Rasmussen's polls about 6% more dems than reps.

Gallup is between 8-10% more dems than reps.
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:47 AM
 
Location: NJ/NY
10,635 posts, read 16,646,780 times
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Like I said yesterday, today (maybe tomorrow) is the day that the dailies will start showing the true impact of McCain's campaign "suspension".
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:47 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 39,606,455 times
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Polls also show that the majority of the people DO NOT want to be stuck with a trillion dollar bailout for wall street - so Mac and reps are on the right side. The dems and bush are aligned on the wrong side (isn't that hilarious?)
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:48 AM
 
Location: NJ/NY
10,635 posts, read 16,646,780 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Rasmussen's polls about 6% more dems than reps.

Gallup is between 8-10% more dems than reps.
And right now, there are 10% more dems in the country than Reps, so their methodology is correct. Rasmussen recently repolled and adjusted their Dem weighting by 0.1% since the last poll.
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:52 AM
 
Location: parrish florida
22 posts, read 43,747 times
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so what do you all think. borrow the money from china again. tell them were gonna bail em out and instead distribute it to all americans. yeah i know its rediculous but it sure beats raising our taxes. heres another one. sneek into fort knox and fire up the printer.
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:54 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 39,606,455 times
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Quote:
And right now, there are 10% more dems in the country than Reps, so their methodology is correct. Rasmussen recently repolled and adjusted their Dem weighting by 0.1% since the last poll.
When one is using 5 and the other 10, and still others use 12 all the way up to 16 (and a few more than that) I would say there is NO concensus on the correct number that determines American party affiliation accurately.

Right now, the state polls are more important. But, it's also worthwhile to consider the way those state polls are weighted.

I don't particular trust polls - remember in 2004, the exit polls were showing an easy win for Kerry. So that's another can of worms for this election - considering the bradley affect.
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:56 AM
 
Location: NJ/NY
10,635 posts, read 16,646,780 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
When one is using 5 and the other 10, and still others use 12 all the way up to 16 (and a few more than that) I would say there is NO concensus on the correct number that determines American party affiliation accurately.
If you look at various polls regarding party affiliation, the number ranges from 5% more dems to about 12% more dems. I'd say Rasmussen is using a very cautious weighting process based on that.
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Old 09-26-2008, 08:58 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,314 posts, read 39,606,455 times
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The ABC poll the other day had 16% MORE dems that reps. Plus an oversampling of blacks. It's very easy for them to manipulate the polls, especially as some of them don't show their methodology.
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Old 09-26-2008, 09:01 AM
 
Location: parrish florida
22 posts, read 43,747 times
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i am soo sick and tired of both sides of the fence. pathetic. now weve got Harry Reid on stage ditching mccain. oh wait heres another guy ditching obama. you cant trust any of these clowns. look at how much just their campaign money would help out the american ppl. instead its used on tv ads that make obama look like a chimp with his head turned sideways and mccain like a monster with open wounds on his face. sad state our country is in truly sad.
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Old 09-26-2008, 09:01 AM
 
6,013 posts, read 6,922,325 times
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THE HELL WITH YOU and your biased polls whether democrat or republican, green party

liberal, independant, and conservative faction polls!!

the only polls that matter are the ones we actually go to to cast our vote
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