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I don't think Obama will carry Arizona. I do think he would like to force McCain to defend it in the last few days. His being close is great PR for his campaign.
The poll at 2% is Zimmerman, a Democratic polling organization.
The next closest after that is 5%, 7% and 8%
Interesting. Why do you feel the race so close? A poll done earlier in the year predicted this was happening, and showed the Senator losing a lot of ground in traditional Republican areas to Democrats, in the more populous ares. If the poll you cited isn't weighted for the cell phone crowd - lookout!
Interesting. Why do you feel the race so close? A poll done earlier in the year predicted this was happening, and showed the Senator losing a lot of ground in traditional Republican areas to Democrats, in the more populous ares. If the poll you cited isn't weighted for the cell phone crowd - lookout!
Is Obama making much of a push there? Either in media or staff? What is the Hispanic population number?
Many republicans in Arizona are Goldwater republicans ~ and Goldwater didn’t like McCain very much! I continue to hear endorsements for Obama from some well known republican names. McCain hasn’t that good of a reputation in his own state and many people remember just who he is with the Keating Five from back in the mid 80’s.
I sure hope McCain loses AZ, would serve him right. I hope he loses all 50 states, but that won't happen, there are too many racists in red states who'll choose guaranteed economic servitude and poverty under McCain before voting in a black guy who WILL improve their lives in many ways; and that is a sad statement on where we are as a nation - divided and conquered.
Is Obama making much of a push there? Either in media or staff? What is the Hispanic population number?
Here is a link to the Demographics, which appear to show Hispanics comprise 29.2% of the population total. Keep in mind however there have been Demographic shifts due to housing and the Economy, a local Realtor would be able to give a much more detailed analysis of on the ground sentiment.
If you consider the enormous Tipping point pressure being exerted by the surrounding States - CA, Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado, and understand the Tipping point methodology, Arizona is under a lot of pressure and will be very interesting to watch.
RCP now has the State as a leaner.
I don't think Obama will carry Arizona. I do think he would like to force McCain to defend it in the last few days. His being close is great PR for his campaign.
Yup, you hit the nail on the head. The media will really talk this up, especially if there aren't any announcements or new policies to discuss. Wonderful PR.
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