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I agree with the OP on the fact that it is going to be extremely close. I also wonder if there will be complications resulting from voter fraud, suspected machine malufunction or whatnot.
Sure, I'll stand by my prediction. It is based on several credible articles indicating the poll taking mehtods in this election are very flawed and favor Obama. Perhaps intentionally, perhaps not. Contrary to what the media has been feeding us, new voter registrations are dead even between Dems and Repubs. Early voting is even also. They are polling a higher percentage of under aged 30 then ever before, up to 22% more democrats in many areas, leaving out or underestimating the rural vote in many battleground states, all to show Obama way up in the polls.
Internal Obama and McCain polls both have shown the race dead even as late is this morning. McCain promised he would win this morning and told his supporters that his data shows the polls are wrong and off significantly.
McCain wins Florida easily, Ohio easily, NC easily and squeeks out a win in Pen, Col and wins the election.
I think Obama will squeek by with about 300-320 electoral votes. Pickup of about 6 or 7 Senate seats. Pickup of about 25 House seats.
Popular vote about 51-49, no higher than 52% or 53% for Obama.
If Obama gets over 330 electoral votes the Rs will finally clean out the outhouse and put the hard righties back in their place. But it might not "take" in time to save them before 2020.
I think the big surprises will be that McCain wins Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
McLame may grab FL & OH if he's lucky but will NOT take PA....
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