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Old 10-29-2008, 07:30 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
14,330 posts, read 19,031,218 times
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Looking very good for the great Barack Obama, our next president. The official election now just a FORMALITY!

Analysis: Obama on his way toward election win
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Old 10-29-2008, 07:41 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
29,007 posts, read 19,020,040 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexus View Post
Looking very good for the great Barack Obama, our next president. The official election now just a FORMALITY!

Analysis: Obama on his way toward election win
Biggest problem with this formality you've indicated is that the new polls on RCP have all moved in McCain's favor. The average of the eight new polls is 4.9%. Four of the eight newest polls indicate a 3% advantage for McCain. Looks like Obama still can't close the deal.
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Old 10-29-2008, 07:48 PM
 
Location: TX
740 posts, read 1,806,934 times
Reputation: 295
Race generally tightens during the final week before election day. Still going to require a Herculean effort from McCain. He has to win all the battleground states (FL, IN, OH, MO, NC and NV) and flip PA to win the election.
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Old 10-29-2008, 07:52 PM
 
9,326 posts, read 18,992,432 times
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Well the "messiah" cautions folks not to get too complacent.
It ain't over til the idiot bulldog with red lipstick sings..
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:07 PM
 
1,535 posts, read 1,802,943 times
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"The official election now just a FORMALITY!"

Ah, no. Winning the election is far from a formality, folks have to get out and vote. Talk is cheap but voting is forever.

"Four of the eight newest polls indicate a 3% advantage for McCain. Looks like Obama still can't close the deal."

Give me the polls state by state, if not, spare me. As for closing the deal, I seem to recall Hillary making the same argument. The deal doesn't get closed until the votes are counted.
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:11 PM
 
2,791 posts, read 3,556,269 times
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I'm really curious to see the polls after Obama's infomercial tonight!
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:19 PM
 
1,535 posts, read 1,802,943 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey View Post
Biggest problem with this formality you've indicated is that the new polls on RCP have all moved in McCain's favor. The average of the eight new polls is 4.9%. Four of the eight newest polls indicate a 3% advantage for McCain. Looks like Obama still can't close the deal.
Just look at the RCP numbers:

Obama McCain Spread
Colorado 51.5 44.3 Obama +7.2
Ohio 49.1 43.3 Obama +5.8
Florida 48.6 45.1 Obama +3.5
Nevada 50.0 42.5 Obama +7.5
Missouri 48.0 47.8 Obama +0.2
North Carolina 48.3 47.0 Obama +1.3
Virginia 51.0 43.4 Obama +7.6


Frankly, I'll spot you Ohio, and Florida in exchange for just VA, CO, and NV. hell, I'll give you PA if I get all the blue states.
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:23 PM
 
716 posts, read 1,499,023 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alexus View Post
Looking very good for the great Barack Obama,
I get that you are an Obama supporter...but I'm still waiting for someone to explain to me what he has ever done that would warrant him being referred to as "the great".

To an outside observer, this makes Obama supporters look absolutely foolish.

But hey, it's your life.
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:27 PM
 
543 posts, read 1,320,809 times
Reputation: 241
Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey View Post
Biggest problem with this formality you've indicated is that the new polls on RCP have all moved in McCain's favor. The average of the eight new polls is 4.9%. Four of the eight newest polls indicate a 3% advantage for McCain. Looks like Obama still can't close the deal.
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Old 10-29-2008, 08:42 PM
 
Location: Washington state
7,208 posts, read 8,192,596 times
Reputation: 1892
Quote:
Originally Posted by WinterinAmerica View Post
"The official election now just a FORMALITY!"

Ah, no. Winning the election is far from a formality, folks have to get out and vote. Talk is cheap but voting is forever.

"Four of the eight newest polls indicate a 3% advantage for McCain. Looks like Obama still can't close the deal."

Give me the polls state by state, if not, spare me. As for closing the deal, I seem to recall Hillary making the same argument. The deal doesn't get closed until the votes are counted.

Here's some states like in electoral projections based on state polls

Obama-311 [259 solid Dem)

McCain-147

Toss up-85

RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map

Obama-364 (264 strong Dem)

McCain-157

tied-17

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp200...aps/Oct29.html

I see no reason for optimism from the McCain supporters.
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