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Old 11-01-2008, 06:36 AM
 
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Another daily thread for polling information and discussion.
Today's RCP as of now.

Shows McCain closing in Pennsylvania and Obama down to a 8.5 lead but the most recent polls are the close ones.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Pennsylvania: McCain vs. Obama
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Latest Polls
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Old 11-01-2008, 06:40 AM
 
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You think Obama should go back to PA for a visit? He doesn't have it on his agenda.
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Old 11-01-2008, 06:46 AM
 
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Be sure the folks you know get to the polls.
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Old 11-01-2008, 06:52 AM
 
Location: LEAVING CD
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The question I have about all these polls is why anyone would trust them?
With the animosity and down right hate that just answering the question "who did you vote for" causes, the attacks from both sides if you don't agree with their canidate, the name calling etc that is happening even between friends like bigot,racist,socialist,communist,anti-american etc why would anyone give an honest answer?
I believe that many who are polled are just giving the answer that they think will get them out of it with their skin intact and without confrontation or are skewing the polls just becuase they're tired of it all. I know some people who when asked will make up an answer just because they are tired of the calls so again, how can you trust 'em?
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Old 11-01-2008, 07:06 AM
 
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
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I don't think Obama has anything to worry about in this state...PA

According to these 2 maps, McCain is only ahead in 2 states...Indiana and Montana... Both of are red states carried by Bush.

It is natural to see polls closing at the end of the campaigning.

POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - Politico.com

Pollster.com - 2008 Election Polls, Trends, Charts and Analysis
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Old 11-01-2008, 07:59 AM
 
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RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Latest Polls

Latest RCP with Rasmussen which has moved in Obama direction
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Old 11-01-2008, 08:02 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PG77 View Post
You think Obama should go back to PA for a visit? He doesn't have it on his agenda.
I would beg Obama to go back to Pennsylvania. I spent five days in there last week in McCain country and it is McCain country big time. Also I am worried about weather in Obama country and turnout. I started a thread on election day weather. Remember the weather this past Tuesday in Philadelphia and the World Series being canceled? What would have happened with voting if that had been election day? Also I am not sure that the Philadelphia Democratic Machine is happy with Obama not playing by their rules.
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Old 11-01-2008, 08:05 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TuborgP View Post
I would beg Obama to go back to Pennsylvania. I spent five days in there last week in McCain country and it is McCain country big time. Also I am worried about weather in Obama country and turnout. I started a thread on election day weather. Remember the weather this past Tuesday in Philadelphia and the World Series being canceled? What would have happened with voting if that had been election day? Also I am not sure that the Philadelphia Democratic Machine is happy with Obama not playing by their rules.
Yeah. I think he should go back, too. I think he thinks he has it in the bag. I wouldn't be so sure.
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Old 11-01-2008, 08:16 AM
 
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Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama with 51% of the vote, John McCain with 46%. The race continues to remain remarkably stable at the national level--this is the 37th straight day that Obama’s support has been between 50% and 52% (see trends).

Nearly a third of voters say they have already cast their ballot and Obama leads by nine among this group. Obama also has a similar lead among the small group who have not voted but still plan to vote early. The candidates are essentially even among those who plan to vote on Tuesday.

Not surprisingly, the number of persuadable voters has declined sharply as Election Day draws near. Forty-seven percent (47%) of voters say they are certain they will vote for Obama and won’t change their mind. Forty-three percent (43%) say the same about McCain. Six percent (6%) have a preference for one of the major party candidates but could change their mind, 2% plan to vote for a third party option and 2% remain undecided.

Obama is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters nationwide, McCain by 52%
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Old 11-01-2008, 08:19 AM
 
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FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right: Trick or Treat
Matt Drudge is touting the results of a one-day sample in a Zogby poll, which apparently showed John McCain ahead by 1 point.

There are a couple of significant problems with this.

Read the rest for yourself and evaluate yourself
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