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Old 11-03-2008, 09:34 AM
 
Location: Denver, Colorado U.S.A.
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So what's the deal with all these positive Republicans? I've heard it on the radio, on tv, and in person. They smile big and say, "I don't belive the polls. McCain's going to win!"

Are they just delusional? I know it's not over yet, but if the polls were the other way around, I'd be stocking up on Prozac and wine for tomorrow night!

 
Old 11-03-2008, 09:37 AM
 
3,758 posts, read 7,674,465 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by denverian View Post
So what's the deal with all these positive Republicans? I've heard it on the radio, on tv, and in person. They smile big and say, "I don't belive the polls. McCain's going to win!"

Are they just delusional? I know it's not over yet, but if the polls were the other way around, I'd be stocking up on Prozac and wine for tomorrow night!
It's called putting up their game face.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 09:39 AM
 
Location: Earth
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I don't trust Diebold.
We've had other elections stolen in the past decade, this could be, too.

Nothing will stop some people.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 09:40 AM
 
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Poll Shows Obama Deflected Recent Attacks - washingtonpost.com
With one day to go, Democrat Barack Obama appears to have rebuffed recent GOP efforts to label him as "too liberal" or too big a gamble. The new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll puts Obama well out in front over Republican John McCain and finds that Obama has firmly reestablished his advantage on handling the economy, beaten back a challenge on taxes and has an edge in terms of perceptions about which candidate would better deal with an unexpected major crisis.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 09:42 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
New Marist (http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/usapolls/US081103.htm - broken link) national poll..Obama-53% McCain-44%, a 2 point gain for Obama from their previous poll.
Looks like a consistant surge at the end which bodes well for directional shift. He is closing out over 50% in most polls. Maybe that the thought of undecideds breaking McCain is more myth then reality.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 11:18 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
New Marist (http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/usapolls/US081103.htm - broken link) national poll..Obama-53% McCain-44%, a 2 point gain for Obama from their previous poll.
Are the 527's and RNC blowing it for McCain? As McCain got off the negative over the last couple of weeks he started to close the gap. He focused on issues and was closing in. Now over the weekends the 527's and RNC decided to go old school and he stopped closing on the national level etc.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 11:22 AM
 
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Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%
PRINCETON, NJ -- The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll -- based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking -- shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters. When undecided voters are allocated proportionately to the two candidates to better approximate the actual vote, the estimate becomes 55% for Obama to 44% for McCain.

The trend data clearly show Obama ending the campaign with an upward movement in support, with eight to 11 percentage point leads among likely voters in Gallup's last four reports of data extending back to Oct. 28. Obama's final leads among both registered voters and likely voters are the largest of the campaign.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 11:54 AM
 
Location: Home, Home on the Front Range
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Default The Real Polls?

Keith Thomson: The Most Accurate Election Forecast? Hardcore Gamblers

I'll take these odds
 
Old 11-03-2008, 12:23 PM
 
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The latest RCP which includes the final Fox Poll.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Latest Polls

FOX News Poll: Obama Leads Going Into Election Day - FOXNews.com Elections
With just one day to go before Election Day, Barack Obama has a 7 percentage point lead over John McCain -- 50-43 percent, according to the final FOX News pre-election poll of likely voters.
 
Old 11-03-2008, 12:33 PM
 
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Election night guide from Fivethirtyeight
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
7 PM EST. Polls close in Virginia and Georgia, as well as most of Florida and most of New Hampshire.

Virginia, for my money, is the most important state in this election. If John McCain loses it, his path to victory is exceptionally narrow—he would need to pull out an upset in Pennsylvania, while holding on to Florida and Ohio, and avoiding a sweep out West. Barack Obama has considerably more ways to win without Virginia, but a failure to close out the state would suggest at best a more circuitous route to victory.
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