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02-06-2007, 05:16 PM
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Compassionate Curmudgeon
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Port St. Lucie and Okeechobee, FL
1,299 posts, read 1,422,549 times
Reputation: 818
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That article about the moving company has been posted and discussed to death. "The study is not scientific.." That says it all. It is one miving companny's experience and has very little relativity to what is actually happening. Population is still growing in Florida, and that has been discussed, also -- births do nbt account for the growth, especially when deaths are factored in.
If more people were moving out than are moving in, the population growth numbers would be negative. They are not. In fact, from that very article, "Recent U.S. census figures show that Florida gains 1,000 people a day while losing 400, said Grant Thrall, a professor of business geography at the University of Florida."
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02-06-2007, 05:20 PM
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Compassionate Curmudgeon
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Port St. Lucie and Okeechobee, FL
1,299 posts, read 1,422,549 times
Reputation: 818
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rhodes112
...Almost all districts in the state are realizing attendance below projections.
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That does not mean that the growth has stopped -- only that the projections of gains were higher than the actual gains. If a school district predicted 25% growth and there was only 24% growth, then the attendance is below projections.
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02-06-2007, 06:45 PM
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Blooming Boomer
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Central Florida
1,409 posts, read 1,415,041 times
Reputation: 685
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rhodes112
Florida exodus? Statistics show residents starting to leave for less costly locales
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According to the US Census Press Release of Dec. 22, 2006, Florida had the second highest population gain of all states with 321,697. Texas was the highest with 579,275. Florida is the also the 9th fastest growing state. So, even with those who are making that exodus north, there are still several hundred thousand MORE making their way south.
http://www.census.gov/Press-Release/...on/007910.html
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02-06-2007, 07:02 PM
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Florida & Military Life and Issues Moderator
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Living in Paradise
5,700 posts, read 6,530,883 times
Reputation: 2316
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Individuals will continue to relocate to Florida because they want a change in their lifes. Some members had a great thread about humidity, temperature, rain, etc and basically some people like what we have and some of us like what other states got to offer.
If the housing market gets ignited, more people will relocate to Florida and this will force some of our local folks to depart the state. Will balance out 
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02-06-2007, 08:36 PM
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Retired
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Join Date: Jun 2006
947 posts, read 1,126,745 times
Reputation: 414
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pslOldTimer
they don't produce houses as fast as they bottle Coke.
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Coca-cola, a true liquid asset!
Maybe, but I'm funnier.
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02-06-2007, 08:38 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Oct 2006
2,117 posts, read 1,961,562 times
Reputation: 452
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Muggy
Coca-cola, a true liquid asset!
Maybe, but I'm funnier.
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You are much funnier ! 
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02-06-2007, 08:44 PM
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Compassionate Curmudgeon
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: Port St. Lucie and Okeechobee, FL
1,299 posts, read 1,422,549 times
Reputation: 818
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Muggy
Maybe, but I'm funnier.
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Well, you sure made me laugh! 
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02-06-2007, 09:21 PM
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Not a member
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Join Date: Apr 2006
673 posts, read 351,135 times
Reputation: 236
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Here's the entire nations' net migration patterns for every state down to the county level (yes, all 3,141 counties)
www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p25-1135.pdf
Domestic Net Migration in the United States: 2000 to 2004
... Population Estimates and Projections Issued April 2006 P25-1135 Economics and Statistics Administration U S C E N S U S B U R E A U US Department of Commerce ...
www.census.gov/prod/2006pubs/p25-1135.pdf
Firsthand observations are very very, valuable, after that research!
As far as scarcity of land....sorry, as someone who has driven the state and bought land....nope....there's land, even on the coast, just ask PSLoldTimer.
Central Fl....from Ocala to Placid Lakes (and this is no flood zone land check out http://msc.fema.gov/webapp/wcs/store...0001&langId=-1 for flood zones for any part in the nation) There are inexpensive lots in West Coast as well.
As for prices, there are other active threads dealing with that issue (I've said my mind on those)
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02-06-2007, 11:23 PM
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Senior Member
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: WPB, FL. Dreaming of Oil city, PA
2,909 posts, read 4,112,224 times
Reputation: 643
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rhodes112
Anyone on this forum who doesn't think Florida real estate will implode is either ill-informed or a realtor. I have been investing in Florida real estate for 15 years and I've seen cycles come and go. Florida will revert to 1999 prices if the insurance and tax situation gets fixed, if not prices will revert to 1995 levels. Florida is scre%$#. Liar loans, corruption and downright thievery have ruined the oasis I once knew.
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The experts had predicted around a 25% drop from the peak and we are getting close to the bottom. They say the bottom will be in 2008 then prices will inch up slowly after the bottom. Sure if we get a major hurricane this will cause further drops. Prices in 1999 were a little less than half of what they were at the peak in 2005. A such drop would mean you can get an adequate 3/2 starter home in PSL or in central and north FL for near $100k. Is that what you are predicting house prices will drop to?
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02-07-2007, 08:36 AM
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Bohemian Beauty
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Join Date: Jan 2007
3,078 posts, read 2,814,299 times
Reputation: 954
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Need_affordable_home
The experts had predicted around a 25% drop from the peak and we are getting close to the bottom. They say the bottom will be in 2008 then prices will inch up slowly after the bottom. Sure if we get a major hurricane this will cause further drops. Prices in 1999 were a little less than half of what they were at the peak in 2005. A such drop would mean you can get an adequate 3/2 starter home in PSL or in central and north FL for near $100k. Is that what you are predicting house prices will drop to?
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The original poster gave an unrealistic prediction. And if it DID happen, those prices wouldn't last long, because we would then boom like never before, with all kinds of investors, speculators and just people wanting a piece of paradise at a bargain price and it would probably take one or two years to skyrocket the prices back up. That is, if prices DID drop like that which NO WAY IN HECK will happen.
There are still plenty of people wanting to come to Florida, just like California, and while both these states go in cycles, booming a lot then slowing a little, over time they are still increasing more than a lot of places.
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