2030 MSA Population predictions (foreclosure, car, money)

[jd433]

Originally Posted by SweethomeSanAntonio

Based on census statistics for 2020. Projection for 2030 a bit off !


50 largest metros 2020
http://proximityone.com/msa06rnk.htm

1. New York-Northen NJ ...............................................19, 489,766
2. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa-Ana ...........................13,415,189
3. Chicago........................................... ............ 10,255,361
4. Dallas-Ft.Worth-Arlington ......................................... 8,022,433
5. Houston-Sugarland-Baytown..................................... 7,419,345
6. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marrieta.................................. 7,291,964
7. Washington-DC-Arlington-Alexandria VA...................... 6,120,987
8. Philadephia-Wilmington........................................ ...... 6,095,446
9. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale........................................ .. 6,088,369
10. Miami-Ft Lauderdale-Miami Beach.............................. 6,023,996
11. Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario............................... 5,735,261
12. Boston-Cambridge-Quincy....................................... 4,557,239
13. Detroit-Warren-Livona............................................ 4,409,268
14. San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont............................. 4,314,064
15. Seattle-Tacoma-Everett........................................ 3,825,817
16. Minneapolis-St.Paul-Bloomington.............................. 3,635,478
17. Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater............................. 3,390,335
18. San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos.............................. 3,161,815
19. St.Louis................................... 2,997,615
20. Denver-Aurora.................................... 2,982,418
21. Baltimore-Towson................................... 2,871,894
22. Orlando-Kissimme.................................... 2,802,272
23. Las Vegas-Paradise.................................... 2,731,563
24. Portland-Vancouver...................................... 2,626,123
25. San Antonio..................................... 2,582,903
26. Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville......................... 2,555,024
27. Cincinatti-Middletown ............................. 2,366,078
28. Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord,NC-SC...................... 2,335,300
29. Austin-San Marcos-Round Rock....................... 2,278,323
30. Kansas City,MO......................... 2,260,809
31. Pittsburgh......................... 2,203,434
32. Indianapolis-Carmel........................ 2,022,063
33. Columbus,Oh........................ 2,018,391
34. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara............................. 1,994,421
35. Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor............................. 1,972,501
36. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro............................ 1,961,485
37. Virgina Beach Norfolk-Newport............................. 1,808,892
38. Jacksonville ............................. 1,658,033
39. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis ........................ 1,613,544
40. Providence-Fall River......................... 1,576,328
41. Raleigh-Cary.............................................. ..........1,560,659
42. Richmond, VA................................................ .......1,458,047
43. Memphis........................................... ...................1,438,103
44. Oklahoma City.............................................. ........1,395,135
45. Louisville-Jefferson County.....................................1,383,3 81
46. Salt Lake City ........................ 1,370,089
47. Hartford-West Hartford......................... 1,252,127
48. Birmingham-Hoover............................................ ....1,230,570
49. Tucson ........................ 1,217,465
50. New Orleans........................................... ...............1,097,507

[+] Rate this post positively

This is not bad. A pretty good projection I would say. I don't think Phoenix will hit 6 million though. Probably more like 5.3-5.5 million.

[Spade]

Originally Posted by JDR1837

I'm not implying that LA won't stay in the top 3, I'm saying that it might slow down growth and possibly lose out to chicago for the #2 spot.

The metro population area of LA is 17 million
The metro population area of Chicago is 9.7 million

LA is still growing faster than Chicago even though Chicago is growing at a very healthy clip. But LA is ahead by over 7 million people. They won't make up that much ground in 22 years.

[bradly]

Originally Posted by SweethomeSanAntonio

Based on census statistics for 2020. Projection for 2030 a bit off !


50 largest metros 2020
http://proximityone.com/msa06rnk.htm

1. New York-Northen NJ ...............................................19, 489,766
2. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa-Ana ...........................13,415,189
3. Chicago........................................... ............ 10,255,361
4. Dallas-Ft.Worth-Arlington ......................................... 8,022,433
5. Houston-Sugarland-Baytown..................................... 7,419,345
6. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marrieta.................................. 7,291,964
7. Washington-DC-Arlington-Alexandria VA...................... 6,120,987
8. Philadephia-Wilmington........................................ ...... 6,095,446
9. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale........................................ .. 6,088,369
10. Miami-Ft Lauderdale-Miami Beach.............................. 6,023,996
11. Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario............................... 5,735,261
12. Boston-Cambridge-Quincy....................................... 4,557,239
13. Detroit-Warren-Livona............................................ 4,409,268
14. San Francisco-Oakland-Freemont............................. 4,314,064
15. Seattle-Tacoma-Everett........................................ 3,825,817
16. Minneapolis-St.Paul-Bloomington.............................. 3,635,478
17. Tampa-St.Petersburg-Clearwater............................. 3,390,335
18. San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos.............................. 3,161,815
19. St.Louis................................... 2,997,615
20. Denver-Aurora.................................... 2,982,418
21. Baltimore-Towson................................... 2,871,894
22. Orlando-Kissimme.................................... 2,802,272
23. Las Vegas-Paradise.................................... 2,731,563
24. Portland-Vancouver...................................... 2,626,123
25. San Antonio..................................... 2,582,903
26. Sacramento-Arden-Arcade-Roseville......................... 2,555,024
27. Cincinatti-Middletown ............................. 2,366,078
28. Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord,NC-SC...................... 2,335,300
29. Austin-San Marcos-Round Rock....................... 2,278,323
30. Kansas City,MO......................... 2,260,809
31. Pittsburgh......................... 2,203,434
32. Indianapolis-Carmel........................ 2,022,063
33. Columbus,Oh........................ 2,018,391
34. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara............................. 1,994,421
35. Cleveland-Elyria-Mentor............................. 1,972,501
36. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro............................ 1,961,485
37. Virgina Beach Norfolk-Newport............................. 1,808,892
38. Jacksonville ............................. 1,658,033
39. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis ........................ 1,613,544
40. Providence-Fall River......................... 1,576,328
41. Raleigh-Cary.............................................. ..........1,560,659
42. Richmond, VA................................................ .......1,458,047
43. Memphis........................................... ...................1,438,103
44. Oklahoma City.............................................. ........1,395,135
45. Louisville-Jefferson County.....................................1,383,3 81
46. Salt Lake City ........................ 1,370,089
47. Hartford-West Hartford......................... 1,252,127
48. Birmingham-Hoover............................................ ....1,230,570
49. Tucson ........................ 1,217,465
50. New Orleans........................................... ...............1,097,507

Mmm Anyone forget about the Albuquerque-Rio Rancho Metropolitan area?? i love this estimation from the city.. 1,312,508

This one took months and months of studies and i wouldnt be suprised if those numbers are correct, look at the pace Rio Rancho is growing and even Albuquerque, 2nd fastest growing behind atlanta.

[SweethomeSanAntonio]

1,062,000 for Albuquerque in 2020.

[bradly]

Originally Posted by SweethomeSanAntonio

1,062,000 for Albuquerque in 2020.

1,312,508 is the correct prediction
I got these numbers from the city AGIS Planning Division, were i work.

However this is the Albuquerque-Rio Rancho Metro..

its like dallas-fortworth only smaller haha

[ABQSunseeker]

I don't believe the 1,312,508 figure is accurate for one second. According to the census bureau as of 2007 the ABQ metro area is 835,000. The growth rate would have to be closing in on 60% for the metro area to expand to that large figure. That's insane. Not even Phoenix or Vegas grew that fast in so short a period.

[AZLiam]

Originally Posted by jd433

This is not bad. A pretty good projection I would say. I don't think Phoenix will hit 6 million though. Probably more like 5.3-5.5 million.

Being that Phoenix metro is already at 4.4 million, I think 5.3 million by 2020 seems just a tad low. The figure for Tucson metro seems even lower since the metro is already at about 1 million.

[jd433]

Originally Posted by AZLiam

Being that Phoenix metro is already at 4.4 million, I think 5.3 million by 2020 seems just a tad low. The figure for Tucson metro seems even lower since the metro is already at about 1 million.

I think that Phoenix is more like 4.2 Million and 100,000 a year is probably all they will grow over the next decade. Growth is slowing in Phoenix and actually job growth is negative right now.

[bradly]

Originally Posted by ABQSunseeker

I don't believe the 1,312,508 figure is accurate for one second. According to the census bureau as of 2007 the ABQ metro area is 835,000. The growth rate would have to be closing in on 60% for the metro area to expand to that large figure. That's insane. Not even Phoenix or Vegas grew that fast in so short a period.

Maybe you need to look at these maps and tell me for yourself, once this this westland project is approved over 160,000 homes.. the cities population will be outrageous. Thats just the city, just imagine Rio Rancho, let me tell ya something buddy there is a scarcity of houses here for the surplus of people that wanna move here, It will happen, thats just growth were gunna be growing faster than vegas, dont belive me.. just watch and see...

[JDR1837]

Originally Posted by Spade

The metro population area of LA is 17 million
The metro population area of Chicago is 9.7 million

LA is still growing faster than Chicago even though Chicago is growing at a very healthy clip. But LA is ahead by over 7 million people. They won't make up that much ground in 22 years.

True, but there are many factors to take into account besides LA and Chicago growth. LA doesn't have the space capabilities that Chicago does, and I'm not saying that would change things very much, but you never know. On top of that, the Chicagoland area is pretty close to absorbing the Milwaukee metro area. So all I'm saying is we can't rule out the possibility that LA and Chicago might be competing for the #2 spot.