2030 MSA Population predictions (foreclosure, car, money)
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I'm not implying that LA won't stay in the top 3, I'm saying that it might slow down growth and possibly lose out to chicago for the #2 spot.
The metro population area of LA is 17 million
The metro population area of Chicago is 9.7 million
LA is still growing faster than Chicago even though Chicago is growing at a very healthy clip. But LA is ahead by over 7 million people. They won't make up that much ground in 22 years.
Mmm Anyone forget about the Albuquerque-Rio Rancho Metropolitan area?? i love this estimation from the city.. 1,312,508
This one took months and months of studies and i wouldnt be suprised if those numbers are correct, look at the pace Rio Rancho is growing and even Albuquerque, 2nd fastest growing behind atlanta.
I don't believe the 1,312,508 figure is accurate for one second. According to the census bureau as of 2007 the ABQ metro area is 835,000. The growth rate would have to be closing in on 60% for the metro area to expand to that large figure. That's insane. Not even Phoenix or Vegas grew that fast in so short a period.
This is not bad. A pretty good projection I would say. I don't think Phoenix will hit 6 million though. Probably more like 5.3-5.5 million.
Being that Phoenix metro is already at 4.4 million, I think 5.3 million by 2020 seems just a tad low. The figure for Tucson metro seems even lower since the metro is already at about 1 million.
Being that Phoenix metro is already at 4.4 million, I think 5.3 million by 2020 seems just a tad low. The figure for Tucson metro seems even lower since the metro is already at about 1 million.
I think that Phoenix is more like 4.2 Million and 100,000 a year is probably all they will grow over the next decade. Growth is slowing in Phoenix and actually job growth is negative right now.
I don't believe the 1,312,508 figure is accurate for one second. According to the census bureau as of 2007 the ABQ metro area is 835,000. The growth rate would have to be closing in on 60% for the metro area to expand to that large figure. That's insane. Not even Phoenix or Vegas grew that fast in so short a period.
Maybe you need to look at these maps and tell me for yourself, once this this westland project is approved over 160,000 homes.. the cities population will be outrageous. Thats just the city, just imagine Rio Rancho, let me tell ya something buddy there is a scarcity of houses here for the surplus of people that wanna move here, It will happen, thats just growth were gunna be growing faster than vegas, dont belive me.. just watch and see...
Last edited by bradly; 08-25-2008 at 08:46 PM..
Reason: Correction*
The metro population area of LA is 17 million
The metro population area of Chicago is 9.7 million
LA is still growing faster than Chicago even though Chicago is growing at a very healthy clip. But LA is ahead by over 7 million people. They won't make up that much ground in 22 years.
True, but there are many factors to take into account besides LA and Chicago growth. LA doesn't have the space capabilities that Chicago does, and I'm not saying that would change things very much, but you never know. On top of that, the Chicagoland area is pretty close to absorbing the Milwaukee metro area. So all I'm saying is we can't rule out the possibility that LA and Chicago might be competing for the #2 spot.
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i love this estimation from the city.. 1,312,508
Phoenix growth is slowing
