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Old 12-09-2012, 02:54 PM
 
1,807 posts, read 2,531,239 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ColdAilment View Post
So 10% of the whites in Mississippi voted for Obama ehh?

Mitt Romney 56% 674,302
Barack Obama 43% 528,560

Population of Mississippi is 2,978,512
Blacks make up 37.3% of that population which equals out to 1,110,984

You say 63% of blacks voted, that equals out to 699,921.

Which means that 411,063 blacks in Mississippi did not vote.

Obama lost by 145,742 votes in Mississippi.

Now, all 411,063 of the blacks who did not vote may not have been of the age 18 or older, but I damn well bet that at least 145,743 of them were voting eligible. [If 100% of the blacks came out to vote in Mississippi, Obama could have won it. Do you see the point now?
Voter turnout is calculated from the population of those 18 and older/eligible to vote, not from the total population of all age groups...
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Old 12-09-2012, 04:03 PM
 
Location: NC
1,175 posts, read 2,214,009 times
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Well...This little thing called SLAVERY happened.
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Old 12-09-2012, 05:41 PM
 
Location: Mishawaka, Indiana
6,511 posts, read 9,044,918 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by srsmn View Post
Voter turnout is calculated from the population of those 18 and older/eligible to vote, not from the total population of all age groups...
Look at the bottom two lines of what you quoted from me.

If 63% of blacks eligible to vote, voted...then 100% of them voting could have turned the tide of the southern states.
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Old 12-09-2012, 06:15 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ColdAilment View Post
Look at the bottom two lines of what you quoted from me.

If 63% of blacks eligible to vote, voted...then 100% of them voting could have turned the tide of the southern states.
...And if 100% of whites had voted, it still probably would have gone for Romney. What's your point?

What I'm taking issue with is your suspect calculations. You counted the *entire* population of blacks in the state, and many of them are under 18. In fact, you have no idea (unless you look at some very, very detailed census data that might not even be available on the web) what proportion of that population is eligible to vote...
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Old 12-09-2012, 06:19 PM
 
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Actually, I'll do the relevant exercise for you (or at least tell you how):

Romney won Mississippi by 145,742 votes, correct? What is the total population of Mississippi that is over the age of 18?

Now, this isn't perfectly accurate either, but...

...multiply the 18+ population by .373 (percentage of the state that is African-American). THAT is your number (again, approximately) of eligible black voters....not that 1 million # you pulled out with your fuzzy math
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Old 12-09-2012, 06:27 PM
 
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74.8% of Mississippi is over 18.

.748*2,978,51 = 2,227,927.

.373*2,227,927 = 831,017

.37 (% that did not vote that were eligible)*831,017 = 307,476.

So, while you are technically right (assuming that 100% of black Mississippians voted for Obama-- they didn't), your math was way off.

Again, even this calculation is imperfect. I would suspect that the black population of Mississippi is comparatively younger than the white population, but I don't have the energy to look up the numbers, broken down both by race and age...
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Old 12-09-2012, 07:55 PM
 
2,331 posts, read 3,804,852 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nairobi View Post
If you don't consider them The South (and most people don't), Delaware and Maryland are above average. I also think Ohio might be slightly above average, but I'm not sure.
"Most People Don't" is B-S; maybe most people in the Deep South(except Florida) may not want to accept the Fact that Maryland and Delaware is part of the South.......
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Old 12-09-2012, 08:03 PM
 
2,331 posts, read 3,804,852 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ckhthankgod View Post
Also known as the Eastern Shore. Eventhough it can be debated, Maryland has the characteristics of a Southern state.
Characteristics and it is a Southern State despite Montgomery County's(DC area) Communist Left Wing Extremist Tree Hugging Environment.
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Old 12-09-2012, 08:12 PM
 
Location: Atlanta & NYC
6,620 posts, read 11,662,662 times
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I'm still curious as to why peanut butter tastes like peanuts.
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Old 12-09-2012, 09:41 PM
 
6,418 posts, read 10,856,125 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ja1myn View Post
I'm still curious as to why peanut butter tastes like peanuts.
Additives.
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