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Old 05-09-2013, 01:20 AM
 
2,769 posts, read 2,485,653 times
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Which states do you think have a realistic possibility of having a new "most populated city" in the coming years? And which cities have the best chance of stealing the title?

If you need a refresher, here is a list of each of the largest cities of each state:


Alabama Birmingham

Alaska Anchorage

Arizona Phoenix

Arkansas Little Rock

California Los Angeles

Colorado Denver

Connecticut Bridgeport

Delaware Wilmington

Florida Jacksonville

Georgia Atlanta

Hawaii Honolulu

Idaho Boise

Illinois Chicago

Indiana Indianapolis

Iowa Des Moines

Kansas Wichita

Kentucky Louisville

Louisiana New Orleans

Maine Portland

Maryland Baltimore

Massachusetts Boston

Michigan Detroit

Minnesota Minneapolis

Mississippi Jackson

Missouri Kansas City

Montana Billings

Nebraska Omaha

Nevada Las Vegas

New Hampshire Manchester

New Jersey Newark

New Mexico Albuquerque

New York New York City

North Carolina Charlotte

North Dakota Fargo

Ohio Columbus

Oklahoma Oklahoma City

Oregon Portland

Pennsylvania Philadelphia

Rhode Island Providence

South Carolina Columbia

South Dakota Sioux Falls

Tennessee Memphis

Texas Houston

Utah Salt Lake City

Vermont Burlington

Virginia Virginia Beach

Washington Seattle

West Virginia Charleston

Wisconsin Milwaukee

Wyoming Cheyenne
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Old 05-09-2013, 04:41 AM
 
9,361 posts, read 9,494,109 times
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Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New York Illinois, California, Texas, and Pennsylvainia will not change largest city unless thee is some sort of major border shifting of the cities in the state
Connecticut, South Carolina, Louisiana, Missouri and Tennessee are the most likely to change their top city, With Connecticut the entire top 4 can reshuffle. The rest have 2 cities that are close to the top, then an abyss to number 3.
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Old 05-09-2013, 07:56 AM
 
5,667 posts, read 8,720,032 times
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Except for CT where the cities are neck and neck TN will be next. The Nashville metro is already larger than Memphis metro.

But then it already happened in TN when Memphis and Nashville overtook Knoxville. I'm guessing Memphis grew faster first because of the mississipi, even though it is further west.

Of course Atlanta surpassed Savannah and Columbia surpassed Charleston. LA surpassed SF. I'll guess this happened a lot in the older states.
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Old 05-09-2013, 08:07 AM
 
Location: Victoria TX
42,663 posts, read 74,082,666 times
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Bridgeport, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Billings, Columbus, and Virginia Beach have only very recently taken over as the biggest cities in their states. So, most states' biggest cities are in jeopardy of being surpassed. Since Montana statehood, four different cities have held the title of biggest in the state.
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Old 05-09-2013, 08:22 AM
 
Location: Detroit
983 posts, read 1,424,036 times
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Not Sioux Falls. It is growing the fastest by far. One of the fastest growth rates in the Midwest and I believe Lincoln county is one of the fastest growing the the country

Last edited by RC01; 05-09-2013 at 08:43 AM.. Reason: thought it was something else
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Old 05-09-2013, 08:36 AM
 
Location: Maryland
4,235 posts, read 5,446,266 times
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States that I would say "no" is the answer: Washington, Oregon, California, Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Iowa, Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Rhode Island, Hawaii, Nebraska, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

Those states are at least the first ones that came to my mind. If you are meaning strictly city limits, then there may be some reshuffling that goes on; if you mean metro area, then I think these are pretty accurate.
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Old 05-09-2013, 08:51 AM
 
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At the rate Detroits going down and the rate Grand Rapids is slowly going up I wouldn't be surprised if Grand Rapids was bigger in 60-80 years.
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Old 05-09-2013, 09:58 AM
 
Location: Albuquerque, NM
1,424 posts, read 2,559,918 times
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Alabama: the top four could easily shift around. In fact, they already have. They're closer now than they ever have been. Of course, much of the "loss" in Birmingham was directly to metro suburbs. So the people are still around, just not in the city limits. Huntsville has seen a lot of military/federal growth, and also isn't challenged by a lot of small, appealing suburbs.

1980 Census

Birmingham 284,413
Mobile 200,452
Montgomery 177,857
Huntsville 142,513


2010 Census

Birmingham 212,237 (-72K)
Montgomery 205,764 (+28K)
Mobile 195,111 (-5K)
Huntsville 180,105 (+38K)
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Old 05-09-2013, 12:18 PM
 
Location: Phoenix
1,277 posts, read 4,149,006 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jtur88 View Post
Bridgeport, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Billings, Columbus, and Virginia Beach have only very recently taken over as the biggest cities in their states. So, most states' biggest cities are in jeopardy of being surpassed. Since Montana statehood, four different cities have held the title of biggest in the state.
Not a chance do you realize Columbus' population is over 787,000. The city is over 200 sq miles. It is physically impossible for Cleveland or Cincinnati to ever reach this size. Further, it isn't just that Columbus has large city limits that works in its favor. The entire metro is growing faster than anywhere in Ohio, and the city and county, and the economy has stable, reliable growth. These are factors that have been consistent since WWII.

Maybe if a major economic shift occurs there could be a change, but under current economic conditions Columbus has the strongest economy in the state and one of the strongest in the entire NE/midwest/greatlakes region. The trend (of Columbus not growing faster economically/metro wise/and city population wise) be something way beyond a lifetime.
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Old 05-09-2013, 12:43 PM
 
6,611 posts, read 6,900,703 times
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Many of these surpassed other cities on their way to being the most populated (some through city-county merger or large-scale annexation), so there is no need to think that a decent number of them may be passed by some other booming city in the future. In other words, it has happened many times before and it will happen again.
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