Crime Stats for 2013 just released - BIG CITY crime is declining in the U.S. (2014, crime rate)

[caliguy92832]

So this morning I went on the FBI website and saw they just released the annual Uniform Crime Report for 2013. It shows that crime overall is declining - FBI — Crime Statistics for 2013 Released

The Press Release - FBI — FBI Releases 2013 Crime Statistics
Full UCR Report here - FBI — Crime in the U.S. 2013

Then I looked at the Metropolitan Statistical Areas table (FBI — Table 6). I looked at the crime statistics for the 50 biggest MSA's (those with populations over 1,000,000). Here's what I found -

MSA VIOLENT CRIME RATE (best to worst)
1. Raleigh, NC 219.3
2. Richmond, VA 243.8
3. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 249.8
4. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 250.9
5. Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 264.3
6. Austin-Round Rock, TX 271.3
7. Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 273.9
8. Rochester, NY 283.6
9. Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN 285.2
10. Pittsburgh, PA 292.8
11. Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 302.0
12. Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 303.5
13. Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 323.5
14. Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 328.5
15. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 331.1
16. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 332.9
17. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 333.3
18. Providence-Warwick, RI-MA 338.2
19. San Diego-Carlsbad, CA 348.6
20. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 353.3
21. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 354.5
22. Salt Lake City, UT 356.6
23. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 389.1
24. New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 390.2
25. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 392.3
26. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 396.5
27. Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 404.4
28. Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA 415.9
29. Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY 430.2
30. St. Louis, MO-IL 431.7
31. San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 459.7
32. Kansas City, MO-KS 468.5
33. New Orleans-Metairie, LA 473.9
34. Jacksonville, FL 495.7
35. Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 497.5
36. Oklahoma City, OK 503.0
37. Birmingham-Hoover, AL 529.8
38. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 538.9
39. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 540.1
40. San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA 558.6
41. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 559.0
42. Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 569.6
43. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 587.1
44. Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN 596.1
45. Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 633.4
46. Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 678.0
47. Memphis, TN-MS-AR 993.4

MSA MURDER RATE (best to worst)
1. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 1.4
2. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 1.8
2. Salt Lake City, UT 1.8
4. Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 2.2
4. San Diego-Carlsbad, CA 2.2
6. Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 2.4
7. Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 2.5
7. Providence-Warwick, RI-MA 2.5
9. Raleigh, NC 2.7
10. Austin-Round Rock, TX 2.8
11. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 3.0
12. Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 3.4
12. Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN 3.4
14. New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 3.5
15. Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 3.7
15. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 3.7
17. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 3.9
18. Pittsburgh, PA 4.1
18. Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA 4.1
20. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 4.3
21. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 4.4
22. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 4.5
23. San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 4.6
24. Rochester, NY 4.8
24. Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN 4.8
24. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 4.8
24. San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA 4.8
28. Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN 4.9
29. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 5.0
30. Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 5.2
30. Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY 5.2
32. Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 5.7
33. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 5.9
33. Oklahoma City, OK 5.9
33. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 5.9
36. Richmond, VA 6.2
37. Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 6.4
38. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 6.6
39. Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 6.9
40. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 7.0
41. Jacksonville, FL 7.1
41. Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 7.1
43. St. Louis, MO-IL 7.2
44. Kansas City, MO-KS 7.4
45. Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN 7.6
46. Birmingham-Hoover, AL 8.2
47. Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 9.6
48. Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 10.0
49. Memphis, TN-MS-AR 10.3
50. New Orleans-Metairie, LA 19.0

The U.S. violent crime rate was 367.9 and the national murder rate was 4.5. Compare that to 1991 when crime was at it's all time worst when the entire USA had a violent crime rate of 758.1 and a murder rate of 9.8 - United States Crime Rates 1960 - 2013

[caliguy92832]

Some articles I just found.....

FBI report: Violent crime down nationwide - Washington Times

Violent crime in U.S. continues decline

[RustBeltOptimist]

Some interesting metros in the top ten in safety, such as Hartford, Rochester, Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. This probably goes against conventional wisdom as they seem to be seen as gritty and more crime prone. At the other end, I'm surprised to see Nashville so violent. The murders are low (12th best, actually) so it must be scoring very poorly in terms of assaults, rapes, and other violent crimes.

[caliguy92832]

Here are the property crimes (Burglary, Larceny, Motor Vehicle Theft) for the cities.

MSA PROPERTY CRIME RATE (best to worst)
1. New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA 1609.9
2. Pittsburgh, PA 1856.5
3. Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH 1890.3
4. Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 1954.2
5. Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 2169.1
6. San Diego-Carlsbad, CA 2191.9
7. Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT 2200.6
8. Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 2207.3
9. Raleigh, NC 2283.3
10. Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 2339.0
11. Providence-Warwick, RI-MA 2359.5
12. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 2364.1
13. Richmond, VA 2395.7
14. Rochester, NY 2411.7
15. Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD 2477.7
16. Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 2579.1
17. Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 2594.9
18. St. Louis, MO-IL 2670.2
19. Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN 2718.1
20. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 2732.1
21. Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY 2735.0
22. Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 2746.8
23. Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA 2766.6
24. Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 2794.4
25. Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 2981.0
26. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 2991.4
27. Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD 3012.1
28. Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 3016.5
29. Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV 3016.8
30. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 3036.4
31. Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI 3064.2
32. Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN 3147.4
33. New Orleans-Metairie, LA 3152.1
34. Austin-Round Rock, TX 3178.5
35. Jacksonville, FL 3228.8
36. Kansas City, MO-KS 3254.4
37. Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 3330.8
38. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 3420.1
39. Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN 3430.4
40. Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN 3468.7
41. Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX 3488.8
42. San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA 3571.5
43. Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 3690.5
44. Birmingham-Hoover, AL 3722.5
45. Oklahoma City, OK 3955.6
46. Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 4023.3
47. Memphis, TN-MS-AR 4189.9
48. Salt Lake City, UT 4348.0
49. San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX 4415.2

The U.S. property crime rate was 2,730.7.

[ckhthankgod]

Here's another list of rankings that has almost every metro and metro division in the country: http://os.cqpress.com/citycrime/2013...LowtoHigh).pdf

[caliguy92832]

Originally Posted by ckhthankgod

Here's another list of rankings that has almost every metro and metro division in the country: http://os.cqpress.com/citycrime/2013...LowtoHigh).pdf

Cool, thanks!

[bolehboleh]

I always find it strange that the Boston area always rates poorly in violent crime, but has one of the lowest murder rates.

[caliguy92832]

Originally Posted by bolehboleh

I always find it strange that the Boston area always rates poorly in violent crime, but has one of the lowest murder rates.

The nation’s toughest gun-control law made Massachusetts less safe - Opinion - The Boston Globe

[bolehboleh]

Originally Posted by caliguy92832

The nation’s toughest gun-control law made Massachusetts less safe - Opinion - The Boston Globe

YEAR 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996

Massachusetts 1.8 2.8 3.3 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.7 2.3 2 2 2 1.9
Murder Rates Nationally and By State | Death Penalty Information Center


The numbers on my chart aren't quite aligning, but this is the murder rate per/100,000 for Massachusetts from 1996-2012. The already low numbers (for the US) went up a bit from 2004 to about 2010, but they have since gone down.

But your obvious attempt at trying to show that Massachusetts' tough gun laws have anything to do with my previous state falls flat. If you look at the original data on this thread, you'll see that the murder rate in the Boston area is the second lowest of the 49 largest metro areas in the country. Despite having this relatively low murder rate, the violent crime rate in the Boston area is 21st out of 47. I can only conclude that Bostonians love a good street fight, but at the end nobody's ending up dead. This is actually a good case of gun control because it shows that Bostonians are just as violent as other metro areas, but their access to guns is limited so they are less likely to shoot each other. Just a hypothesis.

[Irene-cd]

crime in the US has been declining for over a decade now, I believe there was a small surge around 2012 but it quickly went back down.

Quite positive!!!

now you just need to ban guns and you'll have a marvelous peaceful nation