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Old 11-29-2015, 11:40 AM
 
Location: IN
20,853 posts, read 35,970,544 times
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Some interesting state by state trends here.
The total number of counties in each state with >= 25% of the population under age 18 (2014).

Alabama: 3 out of 67 counties

Alaska: 30 boroughs (No Data)

Arizona: 7 out of 15 counties

Arkansas 12 out of 75 counties

California: 17 out of 58 counties

Colorado: 10 out of 64 counties

Connecticut: 0 out of 8 counties

Delaware: 0 out of 3 counties

Florida: 3 out of 67 counties

Georgia: 53 out of 159 counties

Hawaii: 0 out of 5 counties

Idaho: 25 out of 44 counties

Illinois: 8 out of 102 counties

Indiana: 14 out of 92 counties

Iowa: 14 out of 99 counties

Kansas: 30 out of 105 counties

Kentucky: 12 out of 120 counties

Louisiana: 20 out of 64 parishes

Maine: 0 out of 16 counties

Maryland: 0 out of 23 counties

Massachusetts: 0 out of 14 counties

Michigan: 2 out of 83 counties

Minnesota: 12 out of 87 counties

Mississippi: 27 out of 82 counties

Missouri: 17 out of 114 counties

Montana: 7 out of 56 counties

Nebraska: 12 out of 93 counties

Nevada: 3 out of 16 counties

New Hampshire: 0 out of 10 counties

New Jersey: 0 out of 21 counties

New Mexico: 8 out of 33 counties

New York: 3 out of 62 counties

North Carolina: 10 out of 100 counties

North Dakota: 6 out of 53 counties

Ohio: 6 out of 88 counties

Oklahoma: 24 out of 77 counties

Oregon: 5 out of 36 counties

Pennsylvania: 0 out of 67 counties

Rhode Island: 0 out of 5 counties

South Carolina: 3 out of 46 counties

South Dakota: 22 out of 66 counties

Tennessee: 7 out of 95 counties

Texas: 107 out of 254 counties

Utah: 26 out of 29 counties

Vermont: 0 out of 14 counties

Virginia: 6 out of 95 counties

Washington: 7 out of 39 counties

West Virginia: 0 out of 55 counties

Wisconsin: 6 out of 72 counties

Wyoming: 6 out of 23 counties
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Old 11-29-2015, 05:46 PM
 
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, originally from SF Bay Area
29,829 posts, read 54,503,450 times
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Odd way to express the data. Since in every state, some counties have a huge population and others have very few people,
there is little to be learned from this except in the cases of the zeroes. For example, here in Washington, King county has 2 million people, while Garfield County has only 2,000. In fact, there are 6 counties with under 12,000 people. It would make a big difference which counties are those with >= 25% of the population under age 18.
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Old 11-29-2015, 08:00 PM
 
Location: San Antonio
5,286 posts, read 4,163,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemlock140 View Post
Odd way to express the data. Since in every state, some counties have a huge population and others have very few people,
there is little to be learned from this except in the cases of the zeroes. For example, here in Washington, King county has 2 million people, while Garfield County has only 2,000. In fact, there are 6 counties with under 12,000 people. It would make a big difference which counties are those with >= 25% of the population under age 18.
Agreed, but I do know that Utah is the youngest state, and that seems to be reflected in the data above.

Of the major states, Texas is the youngest.
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Old 11-29-2015, 08:58 PM
 
Location: IN
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemlock140 View Post
Odd way to express the data. Since in every state, some counties have a huge population and others have very few people,
there is little to be learned from this except in the cases of the zeroes. For example, here in Washington, King county has 2 million people, while Garfield County has only 2,000. In fact, there are 6 counties with under 12,000 people. It would make a big difference which counties are those with >= 25% of the population under age 18.
That is true regarding Washington state. However, I was using a base figure of 25% as I have found that it also represents the continued trend of families and younger people moving to southern and western states in addition to other factors. In general, it appears in a widespread geographical sense that the eastern US as a whole will have a much higher percentage of elderly people and fewer young in the population compared to some southern and western states within the next few decades.
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Old 11-29-2015, 09:02 PM
 
Location: IN
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gunion Powder View Post
Agreed, but I do know that Utah is the youngest state, and that seems to be reflected in the data above.

Of the major states, Texas is the youngest.
Correct. My analysis also picks up on more socially conservative rural counties and corporate suburban counties with recent growth. Example of the former would be rural counties with a high percentage Amish population in some counties of IN, OH, WI, etc. Other rural areas of the West and Southwest are rural with higher percentages of immigrants in agrarian counties (Apple Valleys of WA state, Central Valley of CA or Oil Patch of TX, NM, etc). What my analysis has found is that there are very few areas of the US with a high percentage of younger people that are on the static side with very little immigration or positive in-migration between states.
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Old 11-29-2015, 09:07 PM
 
Location: Arvada, CO
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Utah, because the general local preference for big families.

Which is no indication of where the yuppies go.
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Old 11-30-2015, 01:00 AM
 
Location: SoCal - Laguna Beach, CA
449 posts, read 616,919 times
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"California: 17 out of 58 counties" - I'm guessing 11-12 of these counties are down in SoCal, a few in the Central and Imperial Valleys, and all have large hispanic populations.

"Texas: 107 out of 254 counties" - not surprising, Texas' population is growing rapidly in all of the major cities and surrounding areas of the Tex A Plex region. Many of the counties in South TX have a huge underclass and the hispanic population in that part of the state is close to 70%...and growing.

"Utah: 26 out of 29 counties Idaho: 25 out of 44 counties" both states are deep in the Mormon corridor, especially Utah, with the LDS population marrying very young, and having lots of children early into marriage and often - no surprise here.

2014 data - 48.1% of all Americans under the age of 18 are minorities. Minorities represent 45.5% of 14-17-year-olds.
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Old 12-02-2015, 10:27 AM
 
Location: IN
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Quote:
Originally Posted by David Aguilar View Post
Utah, because the general local preference for big families.

Which is no indication of where the yuppies go.
Utah is an outlier due to the prevalent LDS influence, and the fact that until recently it was mostly insular with less immigration and in-migration. Both of those factors are changing.
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Old 12-02-2015, 10:31 AM
 
Location: IN
20,853 posts, read 35,970,544 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alpha_Dog View Post
"California: 17 out of 58 counties" - I'm guessing 11-12 of these counties are down in SoCal, a few in the Central and Imperial Valleys, and all have large hispanic populations.

"Texas: 107 out of 254 counties" - not surprising, Texas' population is growing rapidly in all of the major cities and surrounding areas of the Tex A Plex region. Many of the counties in South TX have a huge underclass and the hispanic population in that part of the state is close to 70%...and growing.

"Utah: 26 out of 29 counties Idaho: 25 out of 44 counties" both states are deep in the Mormon corridor, especially Utah, with the LDS population marrying very young, and having lots of children early into marriage and often - no surprise here.

2014 data - 48.1% of all Americans under the age of 18 are minorities. Minorities represent 45.5% of 14-17-year-olds.
Counties in California:
Riverside
San Bernardino
Imperial
Kern
Tulare
Kings
Monterey
San Benito
Fresno
Madera
Merced
Stanislaus
San Joaquin
Yuba
Sutter
Colusa
Glenn
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Old 12-03-2015, 12:34 AM
 
Location: Tempe, AZ
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Interesting thread. Arizona hovers around 24% for the entire state according to the U.S. census in 2014 and we are slightly above average in comparison to the rest of the country (23%). I couldn't find the data for Arizona alone so I'm going to take a guess at the counties for this state:

Navajo
Apache
Maricopa
Pinal
Pima
Yuma
Mohave

Some of these counties are the most populated in the state which are the biggest job centers, others are rural with large Mormon presence (especially Mohave), and some of them are largely Native American, and others are closer to the Mexican border. I couldn't find your source so correct me if I'm wrong on my guess.
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