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Northeast: I'm not surprised that Delaware and DC continue to attract domestic migrants, as DC is gentrifying and Delaware has a lot of "Sun Belt" style development happening in lower and slower portions. New Hampshire has long been a place that Massachusetts residents move to, so the slight growth there is not incredible. Maine is very surprising, however.
Midwest: Awful just about everywhere. I do wonder why people are moving to South Dakota however.
South: Similar to previous years, over three quarters of the net growth for the entire region is attributable to Florida and Texas. The rest of the Atlantic coastal South is doing well in terms of domestic migration, except for Virginia, which people are now fleeing. The inland south continues to do badly, with only Tennessee and Arkansas (barely) growing.
West: California is of course losing massive amounts of people, and probably contributes more to the "rest of the west" gain than anywhere else, as Californians who leave the state seldom want to leave the west. New Mexico has been in the economic doldrums for awhile, and Alaska and Hawaii have been hard hit by the collapse in energy prices. Hawaii has long had out-migration of local residents due to the high cost of living. Everywhere else, the west is booming.
Northeast: I'm not surprised that Delaware and DC continue to attract domestic migrants, as DC is gentrifying and Delaware has a lot of "Sun Belt" style development happening in lower and slower portions. New Hampshire has long been a place that Massachusetts residents move to, so the slight growth there is not incredible. Maine is very surprising, however.
Midwest: Awful just about everywhere. I do wonder why people are moving to South Dakota however.
South: Similar to previous years, over three quarters of the net growth for the entire region is attributable to Florida and Texas. The rest of the Atlantic coastal South is doing well in terms of domestic migration, except for Virginia, which people are now fleeing. The inland south continues to do badly, with only Tennessee and Arkansas (barely) growing.
West: California is of course losing massive amounts of people, and probably contributes more to the "rest of the west" gain than anywhere else, as Californians who leave the state seldom want to leave the west. New Mexico has been in the economic doldrums for awhile, and Alaska and Hawaii have been hard hit by the collapse in energy prices. Hawaii has long had out-migration of local residents due to the high cost of living. Everywhere else, the west is booming.
I don't think Maine is a surprise, as the southern portion around Portland seems to a place that people are looking into and aspects such as unincorporated land/places, its demographics and its outdoor amenities appeal to some folks. https://www.google.com/amp/mobile.ny...?client=safari
Last edited by ckhthankgod; 01-03-2017 at 09:30 AM..
Midwest: Awful just about everywhere. I do wonder why people are moving to South Dakota however.
Its not that bad. Several of those states have big populations (ie MI, OH, IL, etc) so losing a few thousand isn't much. It actually looks like the bleeding is slowing down a bit. IL is the major exception, of course. The state is in financial shambles, people are trying to get out left and right.
Its not that bad. Several of those states have big populations (ie MI, OH, IL, etc) so losing a few thousand isn't much. It actually looks like the bleeding is slowing down a bit. IL is the major exception, of course. The state is in financial shambles, people are trying to get out left and right.
If you look at how much domestic outflow Michigan was having 8 years ago, their current estimates show a continued improvement.
It is obvious when you look at the net migration as a percentage level rather than raw numbers that the Midwest is experiencing comparably small declines - outside of IL and KS, which are messes, and North Dakota, which is a small state feeling the effect of the oil bust. I can't help but think the Northeast declines being so high is in large part being driven by retirees however - there's a longstanding pattern of people from the Northeast retiring to Florida (and the coastal South more broadly).
Another thing which is clear is California's decline, even though it's over 100,000, is actually quite modest on a percentage term.
Finally, growth in the west is remarkably even. Every single state in the west which is has net domestic in-migration is seeing more rapid growth than any other states in the country besides Florida and South Carolina.
Its not that bad. Several of those states have big populations (ie MI, OH, IL, etc) so losing a few thousand isn't much. It actually looks like the bleeding is slowing down a bit. IL is the major exception, of course. The state is in financial shambles, people are trying to get out left and right.
You know Illinois is not alone in this regard, so by that logic people should also be fleeing places like Texas. It's JOBS, Big Cat. People that lack college educations can't find JOBS in Illinois. This is only going to accelerate NATIONALLY as automation and outsourcing continues to take hold on low skill work. The difference will be places like IL, NY, and PA will have bottomed out by the time the south feels the economic crunch.
Debt as a percentage of GDP:
New York (22.71%)
South Carolina
Rhode Island
Washington
Florida
Kentucky Illinois (18.45%)
Connecticut
California (17.18%)
Pennsylvania
Massachusetts
West Virginia
Colorado
New Jersey
Nevada
Hawaii
Texas (16.62%)
Kansas (16.50%)
You know Illinois is not alone in this regard, so by that logic people should also be fleeing places like Texas. It's JOBS, Big Cat. People that lack college educations can't find JOBS in Illinois. This is only going to accelerate NATIONALLY as automation and outsourcing continues to take hold on low skill work. The difference will be places like IL, NY, and PA will have bottomed out by the time the south feels the economic crunch.
Debt as a percentage of GDP:
New York (22.71%)
South Carolina
Rhode Island
Washington
Florida
Kentucky Illinois (18.45%)
Connecticut
California (17.18%)
Pennsylvania
Massachusetts
West Virginia
Colorado
New Jersey
Nevada
Hawaii
Texas (16.62%)
Kansas (16.50%)
Most of Texas isn't in "financial shambles." There is more to financial health than a debt to GDP ratio. Also, last I checked, most manufacturing is still in the Midwest so automation will disproportionately hit the Rust Belt.
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