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Old 04-17-2018, 12:14 PM
 
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The south and west are the only areas with metros that have sustained population growth rates of 3% annual in the last several decades. Will the Midwest see a metro, in the next 20 years, that will reach those levels of sustained growth?

Of course, the Midwest boomed in a different era, then kind of started struggling in the 70's, as far as rates of population growth. What metro areas of the Midwest, if any, do you see reaching sunbelt levels of growth in the in the coming decades...and why?
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:20 PM
 
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Maybe Detroit? If the development plans in place that are continued or on the horizon snowball it has the possibility.
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:31 PM
 
Location: Miami-Jax
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3% annually is a very high bar. I dont think any midwest metro will see and sustain that kind of growth anytime soon.

That said, I think you could see some spike over that amount in certain years. Des Moines, Indy, Minneapolis, Grand Rapids, are a few of the larger ones that seem to be growing at a decent clip.
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:31 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle19125 View Post
Maybe Detroit? If the development plans in place that are continued or on the horizon snowball it has the possibility.
That would be my sentimental favorite. My leanings would be Des Moines or Madison, Wis.

Personally I think Madison, Wis is a very attractive city with a great University. The harsh winter is a draw back but those two large lakes right in the city makes it very attractive aesthetically.
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:32 PM
 
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Columbus, Indianapolis and Omaha come to mind in terms of coming close.
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:36 PM
 
Location: Seattle
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I think Grand Rapids could be a possibility
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Old 04-17-2018, 12:39 PM
 
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Originally Posted by jakebarnes View Post
I think Grand Rapids could be a possibility
Yes....I think it definitely has the potential but I am starting to think that the area growth is not being aggressively promoted. I think a lot of people there like things moving steady and slow. With rapid growth often comes problems.
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Old 04-17-2018, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Miami-Jax
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By the way now that I've looked at some numbers, it looks like only a few MSAs have sustained 3% growth over the last few years. 3% annually over 5 years is 16%. Over 10 years it is 34.4%!!! At the next census, only The Villages will exceed that number, and The Villages is both very unique and pretty small overall.
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Old 04-17-2018, 01:11 PM
 
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Originally Posted by projectmaximus View Post
By the way now that I've looked at some numbers, it looks like only a few MSAs have sustained 3% growth over the last few years. 3% annually over 5 years is 16%. Over 10 years it is 34.4%!!! At the next census, only The Villages will exceed that number, and The Villages is both very unique and pretty small overall.
I don't know about currently, but a decade or more ago Orlando, Austin, Raleigh, Las Vegas...even Atlanta I think....were sustaining those rates. With the brakes being applied to immigration.....I am not sure 3% is viable. You would need strong net domestic migration rates, strong immigration rates and a good rate of natural increase. Currently the Midwest is not an immigrant magnet, so that is one strike against it.
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Old 04-17-2018, 06:53 PM
 
Location: Miami-Jax
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You are right. Charlotte, Phoenix, Houston, San Antonio have also flirted with that range of sustained growth. So it's not impossible, but still a high bar to reach for a major metro area.
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