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Old 03-28-2007, 04:49 PM
 
25 posts, read 208,051 times
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From 1776 through 1999, the following cities (areas) were -- in my opinion -- the predominant urban areas in the United States of America in terms of commerce, culture, social activities, music, arts, sciences and politics (in no particular order):

1) New York
2) Philadelphia
3) Chicago
4) Los Angeles
5) Detroit
6) Boston
7) Washington D.C.
8) San Francisco
9) Texas (Dallas & Houston)
10) Miami

Although I still feel that each one of these cities will continue to play major roles in the American scene (and always will), I would like to offer my projection regarding what the "NEXT" 10 major, influential urban growth and development areas will be for the next 100 years or more -- the 21st Century:

1) Phoenix
2) Atlanta
3) North Carolina (Charlotte & Raleigh/Durham)
4) Las Vegas
5) Orlando
6) Seattle
7) Austin TX
8) Nashville
9) Denver
10) Anaheim / Orange County CA

Honorable Mention For The "NEXT" 10 Cities: Louisville KY, Albuquerque, Memphis, Kansas City, San Antonio, El Paso, San Jose, Tampa / St. Pete

Notice the shift that I believe will take place (and is currently taking place) as more Amercans choose to live in warmer climates.

Anyone agree or disagree? Want to add your city and explain why? Remember, this list is not based on population. It is based on where I feel the best and brightest people will be moving to over the next century and the cities that may begin to influence American culture the most during that same period of time.

Honestly, doesn't it seem like whenever anyone mentions they are moving to a new city, isn't the new city they mention almost always one of the cities I listed as the "NEXT" 10 or one of my Honorable Mention cities? Truthfully, a lot of Americans are shying away from the historical mega-cities in favor of these newer urban areas.

Am I on target with this list?
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Old 03-28-2007, 06:01 PM
 
Location: Phoenix metro
20,005 posts, read 69,400,887 times
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Out of your second "NEXT" list, I really see only Denver, Seattle and Atlanta really become power players, more so Atlanta. Phoenix and Vegas are just giant suburbs with no downtowns nor culture, theyre retirement spots at best. Charlotte might do well, time will tell. Same goes for Albuquerque and Nashville.

Alot of people move to warmer climates, but alot of people dont, it will balance itself out. Alot of these boomtowns are soulless pieces of junk, and alot of folks relocate back home because they miss the culture, the cuisine, the arts, etc, of the more historical towns. These new towns can build up all the strip malls they want, throw up endless miles of cookie-cutter homes, build fancy-schmancy new sports arenas, but its just modern crap, and alot of people would prefer it the other way. I learned that the hard way myself, I only survived 6 months in a sun-belt "boomtown" just to find out it sucked. Give me history/arts/cuisine/etc or give me death. LOL
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Old 03-28-2007, 06:39 PM
 
Location: Wi for the summer--Vegas in the winter
653 posts, read 3,132,682 times
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I certainly would not caterogize Las Vegas as a "Retirement" community. In addition to this, Las Vegas has a large downtown and massive projects are underway there as I speak. It will soon be a real "Showplace", just as the strip is now. And as far as the next top 20 list is concerned, I don't believe Memphis will be a player. That place is about as dried up as detroit is.
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Old 03-28-2007, 07:14 PM
 
Location: WV
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I hear Oil City, PA is headed for a comeback....could become a power player by 2025.
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Old 03-28-2007, 07:17 PM
 
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Default I Prefer Cities With Some History and "Character" Myself

It was a bit of a stretch to include Memphis in my "NEXT" list and as you see it was in my "Honorable Mention" category. But I have traveled extensively through the Mid-South on business and in the right context, Memphis may be able to generate enough inertia to make some progress. Beale Street is one heckuva tourist draw -- albeit a niche draw. The warm/hot climate may attract others. They have an NBA team (although not a very good team) in an outstanding new arena and a decent AAA Baseball team from what I recall. That being said, I am not a "Memphis" guy at all. The town does not fit what I look for in a city. However, I think that any U.S. major city in a warm weather climate is going to have a decent chance to experience significant growth in the near future - Memphis included. I tried to be fair and expand my list to cities that aren't necessarily "my kinda town".

Of the "NEXT" cities I listed, I would only seriously consider Phoenix, Atlanta, Las Vegas and Orlando -- with San Diego thrown in for good measure. Of the historical mega-cities I mentioned, I like Chicago, New York and Miami the most.
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Old 03-28-2007, 07:24 PM
 
Location: Sacramento, CA
788 posts, read 3,769,692 times
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The only city I disagree with is San Jose. (I do realize this was on your "honorable mention" list). I live in CA, and it seems like (I don't have any numbers to back this up by the way) that many people are on their way out of the bay area or have already moved on. The cost of living is so outrageous there, and even though many jobs pay well, it is still not enough to live there comfortably. Since the bay area dot.com bust, there has been a slow but steady progression out of there. Again, just my feeling or percetion. No evidence other than a lot of former bay area dwellers now live in Sacramento.

I love this topic! What's your top 10 prediction for the mid-sized city category?

Last edited by leavingcali; 03-28-2007 at 07:25 PM.. Reason: typo
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Old 03-28-2007, 08:13 PM
 
25 posts, read 208,051 times
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Default Top 10 "NEXT" Mid-Sized City Prediction?

I am not sure of the population stats on these cities to determine if they are truly classified as "Mid-Sized", but since leavingcali asked, I will take a stab at it (in no particular order):

1) Colorado Springs CO
2) Flagstaff AZ
3) Huntsville AL
4) Grand Rapids MI
5) Stockton CA
6) Riverside CA
7) Fort Myers/Sanibel/Naples FL
8) Boise ID
9) Santa Fe NM
10) Winston-Salem/Greensboro NC

Honorable Mention Mid-Sized "NEXT" Cities: Richmond VA, (Spokane WA/Coeur d'Alene ID/Post Falls ID), (Reno/Sparks/Tahoe NV)

If anyone wishes to provide an alternate view, be my guest. I based this list on a few things I've heard and the rest I gathered based on my perceptions after traveling to some of these areas.
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Old 03-28-2007, 08:15 PM
 
Location: Sacramento, CA
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Thanks Mr.2007! It looks like a comprehensive list to me.
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Old 03-28-2007, 08:56 PM
 
Location: Phoenix metro
20,005 posts, read 69,400,887 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GreggB View Post
I certainly would not caterogize Las Vegas as a "Retirement" community. In addition to this, Las Vegas has a large downtown and massive projects are underway there as I speak. It will soon be a real "Showplace", just as the strip is now. And as far as the next top 20 list is concerned, I don't believe Memphis will be a player. That place is about as dried up as detroit is.
What is in downtown LV other than sparsely seperated casinos? There is no heavy hitting Fortune 500 companies nor any stock exchange, etc. Vegas is a weekend party town, comparing it to NYC or Chicago or Philly is crazy. Vegas says "FUN" whereas other cities say "BUSINESS".
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Old 03-28-2007, 09:00 PM
 
Location: Scottsdale, AZ
4,486 posts, read 15,281,488 times
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I don't see Phoenix becoming a power-player so to speak. There are a TON of urban-revitalization projects going on in downtown Phoenix which they're hoping will help the city grow. For a city the size of Phoenix, we have a pretty pathetic downtown.

Denver, Seattle, and Atlanta are well on their way to becoming world-class cities. Each has a vibrant downtown with a good mix of culture and a great atmosphere. I really don't see Nashville or Orlando becoming "the next big thing" anytime soon. They're still in the developing phase of becoming a great city.

I'm just hoping that our mayor will get things moving along with the downtown developments. I'm hoping to see something along the lines of what Denver has as a downtown area in the next 10 years.
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