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I think the projections are off for several cities, Durham, N.C. (low), San Antonio (low), Jacksonville, Fl (High), Las Vegas (high), Beaumont, TX (low), Sacramento, Ca (high), and New Orleans (low) to name a few. My reasoning, for a few follow:
1. Durham, N.C. Raleigh, N.C., the number one growth area, is partially in Durham County. Durham experiences moderate growth, over 15 years, while Raleigh explodes, due to their proximity I just do not see it. 2. San Antonio San Antonio has the lowest unemployment of any major Texas metro. The BRAC, River North, Rackspace, UTSA and Texas A&M San Antonio, and the city’s financial, cyber security and biomedical sectors are a few strong points for San Antonio. The Proximity to Austin, the number 5 growth area, should also help San Antonio. 3. Beaumont, TX This area is adding new refineries and expanding older ones, meaning more jobs. It is very close to Houston, another high growth area, yet it is projected to lose 9% of its population.
Reaching all the way back to page one of this thread.....
Specifically regarding Durham, I agree that its growth is probably understated. However, despite its immediate adjacency to Raleigh, it's been historically true that Durham's growth rate is simply much slower. Yes, there is a tiny part of Raleigh that is actually in Durham County as a result of a land swap deal between the two cities at the county line. But, keep in mind that Durham's land mass is simply much smaller than Wake County and that Durham's Metro is sandwiched between Raleigh's and Greensboro's.
Frankly, I think that all this will be a mute point by the time 2025 comes around because I fully expect that the Census will have reunited the two metros back into a single MSA as it should be. This will push the Triangle's absolute numbers up to the 2.5+ million range. Frankly, I think that might be a low projection. The Triangle has historically grown faster than its predictions. It's already almost 1.8 million.
A more interesting scenerios is that one day the Census combines the Piedmont Triad and Research Triangle into one giant CSA. In travelling from Raleigh to Winston Salem, it's not so hard to imagine that happening in a 2-3decades.
What does Houston have for which Philly has no equivalent?
Philly has many things and places that have no equal in Houston.
yes, philly does, like delapidated hoods, high crime rates, rats. you guys do corner the market on these things.
oh and lets not forget the cheesesteak
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