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Originally Posted by Felix C
Regarding Enigma/Ultra where do you see the resulting information tremendously benefited the Allies compared to if deciphering did not occur?
I ask because Uboats and the Battle of the Atlantic are usually mentioned by I would posit it was air cover, radar, HFDF use and more and well trained surface escorts that mastered the Uboats not decoding their signals.
Ah, this is alternative history stuff again........
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Not really, I think it's an interesting question. People often refer to it as being a game changer, but there are only a few operations whose success was really credited to Ultra. In general Ultra did not provide "current" intelligence and was often delayed and there were many moments, where they simply could not decipher anything. When they did have breakthroughs though they tended to act on them.
The first actionable Ultra intelligence was the German buildup in 1941 prior to the invasion of Greece. However, the allies lacked the resources to do anything about it. The reading of naval transmissions in the same year contributed to the British Med Fleet's defeat of the Italian navy at Matapan. Alexander heavily credits it for assisting in the defeat of Rommel in North Africa in 41/42 as Ultra provided precise details on his force disposition, movements, supply situation and capability.
It was marginally succesful in 1941 in helping to steer convoys around Uboat packs and in a small number of cases direct ships and planes to ambush Uboats. You are quite right that Ultra really had little impact on the Battle of the Atlantic versus improvements in ASW tactics.
Some claim that it "shortened the war" but these are often based on hypotheticals like Rommel capturing Egypt in 1942 which was highly unlikely with or wthout Ultra.