|
08-17-2007, 11:40 AM
|
|
dreaming of a boat
Status:
"Having a Hill Country Christmas!"
(set 4 days ago)
|
|
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Westover Hills/San Antonio
3,868 posts, read 3,144,550 times
Reputation: 1414
|
|
I don't think anyone is getting worked up. I know I'm not.
If you look at the model, most show it going into Mexico or South Texas. Only one model has it coming to Houston--the GFDL.
From NOAA.gov:
GFDL (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory) is a limited area baroclinic model developed specifically for hurricane prediction. It includes 18 sigma levels and uses a horizontal finite-difference method with three nested grids. The two inner grids move to follow the storm, and the resolution of the inner domain is 1/6 degree. The GFDL model includes convective, radiative and boundary layer parameterizations and has a specialized method for initializing the storm circulation. The initial and boundary conditions are obtained from the Aviation run of the MRF model. The representation of the storm circulation in the global analysis is replaced with the sum of an environmental flow and a vortex generating by nudging the fields in a separate run of the model to an idealized vortex. This idealized vortex is based upon a few parameters of the observed storm, including the maximum wind, radius of maximum wind and outer wind radii. The environmental flow is the global analysis modified by a filtering technique which removes the hurricane circulation. A more detailed description of the GFDL model is given by Kurihara et al (1995).
The only people that are guaranteed to get worked up are the meteorologists, who right now are all having lunch together to decide when exactly to unleash their wrath and hype up this storm as the next Katrina. Frank Billingsley says ASAP, per usual. LOL! 
|
|
08-17-2007, 12:02 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: May 2007
48 posts, read 78,351 times
Reputation: 16
|
|
|
LOL, Dr. Neil Frank is twitching uncontrollably by now. And so much for Ed Brandon's retirement!
Dollars to donuts Anderson Cooper has a reservation at the DT Hilton already, just in case.
|
|
08-17-2007, 12:07 PM
|
|
Not a member
|
|
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Texas
2,703 posts
Reputation: 206
|
|
Photo as the storm clears:
 |
|
08-17-2007, 12:15 PM
|
|
dreaming of a boat
Status:
"Having a Hill Country Christmas!"
(set 4 days ago)
|
|
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Westover Hills/San Antonio
3,868 posts, read 3,144,550 times
Reputation: 1414
|
|
|
Oooh. Nice photo Guerilla!
grifsmom, you know he's sharing a room with Jim Cantore, right? ROTFL!!!
|
|
08-17-2007, 12:53 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: May 2007
48 posts, read 78,351 times
Reputation: 16
|
|
|
Well, I sure hope Jim had time to make one last trip to the tanning salon!
Overheard at the check-in desk: "Anderson, babe, can I borrow your Crest White Strips? I left mine at the gym"
lol!!!
|
|
08-17-2007, 01:26 PM
|
|
dreaming of a boat
Status:
"Having a Hill Country Christmas!"
(set 4 days ago)
|
|
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Westover Hills/San Antonio
3,868 posts, read 3,144,550 times
Reputation: 1414
|
|
|
Right! LOL!
The latest models have changed. The GFDL now has it going right smack into Louisiana. Most of the other models have it going into Mexico.
|
|
08-17-2007, 01:35 PM
|
|
happy happy happy, everybody's happy
|
|
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: southwest houston
8,388 posts, read 5,352,880 times
Reputation: 2308
|
|
|
It should go into Kenedy County, Texas just like Bret in '99.
Every Gulf hurricane should go there. Nothing personal against the 400 people who live in that county, but that's a lot better than going into a large metro area.
Would another strike in New Orleans cause another exodus to Houston?
|
|
08-17-2007, 03:02 PM
|
|
Not a member
|
|
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Texas
2,703 posts
Reputation: 206
|
|
|
Not as large as before, but an exodus would happen.
|
|
08-17-2007, 04:28 PM
|
|
Not a member
|
|
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Texas
320 posts
Reputation: 95
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by jfre81
It should go into Kenedy County, Texas just like Bret in '99.
Every Gulf hurricane should go there. Nothing personal against the 400 people who live in that county, but that's a lot better than going into a large metro area.
Would another strike in New Orleans cause another exodus to Houston?
|
Oh God. Can't they send them to Atlanta? |
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
|
|
Welcome to City-Data.com forum! Make sure to register - it's free and very quick! You have to register before you can post and participate in our discussions with 700,000 other registered members. User profiles and some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your free account you will be able to customize many options, you will have the full access to over 15,000 posts/day about local topics and you will see fewer ads. 
Linear Mode
