Hurricane Katia (night, wind speed, lows, South)

[Nomadicus]

5 AM Sunday we should have a much better idea of what maybe to expect.

[Nomadicus]

According to the NHC this time tomorrow Katia should be a hurricane. She still has time to turn out to open ocean. If I could spec her out I'd want her to cross FL as a low grade TS and then on to TX as a TD that would end the TX drought. But then again I'm not in control. It's not impossible that she will not try to finish what Irene started.

[Tony22]

Glen Schwartz

It had better curve by 70W or it's going to be crazy along the entire East coast, since Katia is going to be AT LEAST a cat. 3 by then. The other scary thing is that the current position and 5 day track of Katia is very close to the tracks of:
Sept. 1944
Donna 1960
Gloria 1985
Andrew 1992
Floyd 1999
Isabel 2003
Frances 2004

The key may be whether the strong trough that will bring the cold front through by Labor Day will pick up Katia. If not, the big high building in behind the front could start curving Katia back more to the west for at least a while. That's what happened with Andrew. It looked like the trough was going to pick it up (it was only a TS at 25/65), and many forecasters in Florida had given up on it. One VERY well-known and popular met in Miami even said on Friday: "go enjoy your weekend". Then it turned west, strengthened like mad, and the rest is history. Let's hope that sort of thing doesn't happen again.....ever.

[greatblueheron]

Only National Hurricane Center online for me too....there is no hype here....just the "cone" of possible/probably strike zones!! They update every 3 hours, around the clock.

Originally Posted by Nomadicus

With a little luck it will turn and head to open water. I for one don't see any hype because I don't watch the media. I only watch NHC and their current (current being the key word) possible cone of path. After the fact the media will have some pictures. NHC is online is my only source period. No spaghetti here to mess with my head. At any given minute the cone can change directions. Ask the people that got splattered by Hurricane Charley when he made a quick right wobble right over them.

[RadioSilence]

Today the chief meteorologist where I work butchered the name, calling it "Ketcha".

Weather Underground extrapolated with six models; three of them sharply turned Katia toward Bermuda, and the other three maintained a WNW course, but north of the Virgin Islands, etc. I'm sure it will be an anxious week.

[Nomadicus]

Are you feeling lucky yet?

[highcotton]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT12/refresh/AL1211W5_NL+gif/023813W5_NL_sm.gif (broken link)

[LilyLady]

Originally Posted by greatblueheron

Only National Hurricane Center online for me too....there is no hype here....just the "cone" of possible/probably strike zones!! They update every 3 hours, around the clock.

NHC gets my vote too. No over-excited reporters doing stupid stuff just for ratings. Just data. I like it better that way.

[LilyLady]

Originally Posted by RadioSilence

Today the chief meteorologist where I work butchered the name, calling it "Ketcha".

Weather Underground extrapolated with six models; three of them sharply turned Katia toward Bermuda, and the other three maintained a WNW course, but north of the Virgin Islands, etc. I'm sure it will be an anxious week.

I don't guess anyone knows the proper way to pronounce it. I've heard as many pronunciations as there are forecasters. To each his/her own, I guess. Honestly, it doesn't matter to me what it's called or how it's pronounced, just so long as it keeps turning away. Cleanup is hard work.

[Nomadicus]

10 mph shy of a hurricane. She needs to turn some more soon or there will be some nervous moments coming.