Erika Forms in the Atlantic 8/25/15

[SFX]

Originally Posted by maverick5575

Extreme? Come on man. Be serious.

One could ask the same questions about California. But it would be mean spirited and stupid.

[Psychoma]

The remnants of Erika are still bringing scattered showers across FL. Should help spark some good showers across parts of the southeast US as it drifts up and out.

As of Mon Aug.31,2015 Erika is believed to have caused 20 deaths in Dominica and 1 in Haiti due to flooding/mudslides. Dozens are still reported missing at this time.

-Estimated rainfall (preliminary) from Erika for Puerto Rico, Saint Thomas, Saint John, and Saint Croix (most of the showers were to the south east of the storms center which passed south of Puerto Rico)

[Cambium]

Was the message muddled by NHC regarding Erika not affecting Florida? Not me. I had said this many days before that it was "no big deal" and that it wasnt worth posting and updating multiple times a day for it. Some thought I was downplaying the storm..nope. I didnt see the need for worry.

https://twitter.com/IrishEagle/statu...82082361782272

[Psychoma]

Yep, good article put together by the folks at the NHC.

Includes topics such as low intensity storms being the hardest to track! (5 days out a weak tropical storm average is over 350 miles off!):


Overall we've come a long ways in predicting these things though:


And although there was a chance for hurricane development off Florida's coast, it was only 5% or so:



Not to mention how the misaligned center decided to jump south as it neared Puerto Rico (you could actually see the previous center swirling off on it's own on satellite!!) which in turn put the mountainous terrain of Puerto Rice and Hispanolia into play which made a HUGE difference on the outcome of this storm: