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Depsite the nc/sc landfall on the gfs , odds for a florida landfall are going up... UK and canadian both seem to want florida to be hit... im starting to think its even possible to hit florida and enter gulf.
North Carolina sticks out like a sore thumb. Wonder what the statistics are between hurricanes hitting Georgia/South Carolina and the Delmarva vs. North Carolina.
Another cool site.. Under the tab "ALL STORMS".. I chose Georgia and South Carolina and all categories and only 16 came up. 16 Tropical Cyclones hit those 2 states
GFS hits SC/NC border
Canadian hits FL then GA
Euro Slams Bahamas and makes quick turn north than NE, misses coastline
Navy Off FL coast last frame available
Blah! Hopefully recon data in irma will start shedding some light.
Crunch time coming. Soon we'll start to see some agreement. When 2 or 3 main models start showing the same thing, thats when we have a key clue
Quote:
Originally Posted by ral31
It's been quite a while for SW Louisiana. Looks like the last time a Hurricane Warning was issued there was 2008 (Gustav and Ike).
Its like playing Roulette this far out. Although I think gulf states are pretty safe with Irma.
Quote:
Originally Posted by muslim12
Latest run of GFS is absolutely terrifying.
Was watching it load and was like Holy Crap! Lol. I remembered the pressure readings always are shown to be extreme vs when we get closer. I remember this with Sandy and Irene. 6+ days before I think was showing like 930s then started letting up as we got closer in time. Hope its the same here. Sub 920mb would be crazy
Mark Sudduth released his latest video. Another great video as he cuts through the hype! Cambium check his channel out, you will love his footage from previous hurricanes and his webcams during hurricanes.
Almost looks like Irma went West for awhile instead of WSW this afternoon then wobbled down WSW/SW.
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