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Invest 95L became Subtropical Storm Oscar in the central Atlantic Friday evening 26Oct2019. Tropical Storm forces winds (39+mph) were present prior to this but the storm was not organized enough to be classified.
27Oct18 11aEDT/AST: Estimated winds 60mph(95km/h), moving West 13mph(20km/h), pressure 995mb. As NHC foretasted all week, storm has moved North, Now turned Westward, and now should turn a little more WSW or so in the coming days, likely becoming a Hurricane as well, before or as it turns quickly up and out to sea. Interested near Bermuda and maybe Newfoundland may want to monitor in case tracks a little closer but right now Oscar poses no threat to land.
Oscar is traveling in a small pocket of lower wind shear (right center of image green and yellow's, reds are not favorable for development, but these areas constantly move around.
Official updates for Atlantic basin storms comes from the US National Hurricane Center based in Miami, FL. Updates are issued at 5 & 11am/pmEDT/AST. (If Watches/Warnings issued then updates are also added at 2 & 8am/pmEDT/AST) here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Cone map (Shows: Current storm wind field at storm center(orange: winds 39mph+, red: 74mph+), Classification (Black/white dots with letters: "D" = Depression, "S" = Tropical Storm, "H" = Cat1 or Cat2 Hurricane, "M" = Major Hurricane (Cat3+)), any coastal tropical Watches/Warnings, and the "cone" is where the center of the storm could be over time (it's NOT the size of the storm), effects of the storm can be felt outside this area:
28Oct18 5aEDT/AST: Estimated winds 65mph(100km/h), moving SW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 994mb. Still expected to turn more W then NW then NE out to sea this week moving very quickly once it does so. Hurricane soon but no current threat to land.
28Oct18 5pEDT/AST: Estimated winds 75mph(120km/h), moving W 16mph(26km/h), pressure 989mb. Cat1 hurricane. Additional strengthening expected and a turn towards the North early this week. NHC notes that in 5 days as the storm is in the far North Atlantic that a turn southward is possible. Some modeling splits off a peice of the storm as well to maybe form another system spinning in the central Atlantic. But will have to see. Reguardless, not seeing anything bringing any systems near the US.
29Oct18 11aEDT/AST: Estimated winds 85mph(140km/h), moving WNW 7mph(11km/h), pressure 981mb. Storm is slowing down which you see sometimes when they turn and has already begun its anticipated turn now WNW followed by to the North shortly. Looks like by the weekend may be approaching N Europe.
Cat 2 Oscar heading to the north Atlantic and will transport tropical air into the region. Might be interesting news for Eastern U.S in the sense that this could create a Negative NAO situation in the near future!
30Oct18 5pEDT/AST: Estimated winds 85mph(140km/h), moving NNE 20mph(31km/h), pressure 979mb. Looks like it peaked overnight with winds reaching 105mph earlier. Storm located about 458miles(780km) East of Bermuda. Hurricane force winds (74+mph) extend up to 25miles(35km) from storm center, Tropical Storm winds (39-73mph) extend up to 115miles(185km). Waves will be affecting Bermuda through Wednesday.
31Oct18 5aEDT/AST: Estimated winds 75mph(120km/h), moving NE 22mph(35km/h), pressure 982mb. Storm now about 660miles(1,060km) ENE of Bermuda and heading away.
31Oct18 5pEDT/AST - Oscar was classified as a post tropical system with winds of 75mph and no more advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). An archive of previous advisories can be found here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/OSCAR.shtml?
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