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Old 09-23-2019, 07:48 PM
 
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Mon 23Sept 8pEDT/AST,9pADT: Winds 35mph(55km/h), moving NNW 13mph(20km/h), pressure 1008mb. Weakens to Tropical Depression. Although too far out to know what will happen, overall threat of a storm into US has gone down today with less model support.

Last edited by Psychoma; 09-23-2019 at 08:00 PM..
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Old 09-24-2019, 06:32 AM
 
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Tue 24Sept 5aEDT/AST,6aADT: Winds 40mph(65km/h), moving N 7mph(11km/h), pressure 1006mb. Tropical Storm again. Lot of scattered rains heading up into Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this morning, flood threat.

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Old 09-24-2019, 08:22 AM
 
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Old 09-24-2019, 03:41 PM
 
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Old 09-24-2019, 08:17 PM
 
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Tue 24Sept 8pEDT/AST,9pADT: Winds 45mph(75km/h), moving NE 10mph(16km/h), pressure 1003mb. Has become better organized today but still not great with a stretched out center and multiple vortices all wanting to be the real Karen. After Puerto Rico will have less wind shear and warm waters to feed off of but also likely dry air around, then wind shear may pick back up this weekend. Karen expected to stall and meander around somewhere between Puerto Rico & Bermuda late this week / weekend. Not much model support for it surviving a trip over to the US mainland now but you know how this can go so we'll watch it just in case. Heavy rains enveloping Puerto Rico this evening with several Flash Flood warnings in effect.
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Old 09-24-2019, 08:20 PM
 
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Old 09-25-2019, 06:32 AM
 
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Wed 25Sept 8pEDT/AST,9pADT: Winds 45mph(75km/h), moving N 14mph(22km/h), pressure 1003mb. All Tropical Watch/Warnings discontinued. Additional 1-2inch, isolated 8in rain possible in trailing bands Puerto Rico / Virgin Islands. Keeps moving N/NNE, stalls by Saturday, High pressure ridge builds back in pushing Karen West by Sunday into Monday. Will be a few days still before we know if Karen will be threat to US or not.
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Old 09-25-2019, 12:49 PM
 
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Prelim rain totals:
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Old 09-25-2019, 02:58 PM
 
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Karen struggling today. And models have less support long term.
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Old 09-25-2019, 06:06 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by uggabugga View Post
i like duds. duds are good.
I like action and that is something i never get much of. Forget Karen it is done.
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