Atlantic - Ida Forms August 26, 2021 (rainfall, USA, forecast, South)

[Cambium]

Josh is in Mississippi

https://twitter.com/iCyclone

[Psychoma]

Thurs 26Aug 11pEDT/10pCDT: Winds 40mph(65km/h), moving NW 12mph(19km/h), pressure 1006mb. TS winds extend out to 70miles (110km) from center.

Storm Surge Watch: TX/LA border E to AL/FL border
Hurricane Watch: Cameron, LA E to MS/AL border
Tropical Storm Watch: MS/AL border E to AL/FL border

NHC's first call on surge:
Morgan City, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake Borgne...7-11 ft
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Morgan City, LA including Vermilion Bay...4-7 ft
Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft
MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...3-5 ft
Lake Maurepas...2-4 ft
Sabine Pass to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA...2-4 ft

More detailed neighborhood level storm surge potential maps are issued about 90min after the main 4 & 10am/pmCDT (5 & 11a/pEDT) updates as well. These will shift depending on location/geography, movement speed of storm, storm winds, hi/low tide, storm track, etc.

[Psychoma]

Fri 27Aug 5aEDT/4aCDT: Winds 45mph(75km/h), moving NW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 1001mb. TS winds extend out to 80miles (130km) from center.

No change from yesterday. Pressure dropping so it’s still steadily strengthening as expected. NHC bumps landfall LA winds up from 110 to 115mph, which would be Cat3.

[Cambium]

https://twitter.com/BillKarins/statu...aO8g0X46Q&s=19

[Psychoma]

Here's latest storm surge maps...these storm specific maps come out about 90 minutes after the main 4 and 10a/p CDT updates (time at top of maps): https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/gra...ation#contents

[Cambium]

NHC has Ida a Hurricane Saturday 2pm. A Cat 2 Sunday 2am. A Cat 3 at or just before landfall Sunday afternoon

[Cambium]

Future Loop per latest GFS model. By Tuesday the remnants is in the Ohio Valley then Northeast Wed-Thurs.


https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

[floridarebel]

Originally Posted by LKJ1988

LA always gets all the action. We sure needed the rain.

Florida can’t get anything. We have among the most boring climate.

[Psychoma]

Fri 27Aug 8aEDT/7aCDT: Winds 60mph(95km/h), moving NW 15mph(24km/h), pressure 996mb. TS winds extend out to 80miles (130km) from center. Note: some NHC products are not loading this morning, either due to high site traffic or data issues.

Radar from the Caymans showing low level center and mid level center not aligned vertically as of yet but still managed to increase winds to 60mph. Higher intensity expected once aligns more.
https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1431216297841418241

[Sunbiz1]

Right front quadrant coming into New Orleans?.
This could be worse than Katrina due to angle of approach, and sheer size of storm circulation piling up water.

Guess we'll all find out if the billions spent to preserve this swamp of a city is effective.