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Old 09-08-2009, 03:27 AM
 
Location: Invercargill, New Zealand
2,818 posts, read 5,981,183 times
Reputation: 1325

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Tropical Storm FRED Public Advisory
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Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Maps/Charts Archive
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000
WTNT32 KNHC 080840
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 AM AST TUE SEP 08 2009

...FRED STRENGTHENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.3 WEST OR ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.8N 27.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Tropical Storm FRED Public Advisory

Just thought I'd mention it, but it has recurve written all over it.
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Old 09-08-2009, 09:52 AM
 
Location: Eastern NC
20,871 posts, read 19,487,992 times
Reputation: 18745
Looks to be a fish storm but also looks pretty healthy right now.
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Old 09-08-2009, 10:06 AM
 
48,508 posts, read 87,859,401 times
Reputation: 18157
Way too far away and the upper winds do n0t favor it make aUS landfall unless there are big chnages which do nt look likely. Wait and see for now;as its far from being any threat.
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Old 09-08-2009, 03:36 PM
 
Location: Boston Metro
1,994 posts, read 5,361,116 times
Reputation: 1834
Another one thats not going to hit us
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Old 09-08-2009, 07:16 PM
 
Location: God's Country
22,046 posts, read 31,322,217 times
Reputation: 30736
Quote:
Originally Posted by Boston14 View Post
Another one thats not going to hit us
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Old 09-09-2009, 03:38 AM
 
Location: Invercargill, New Zealand
2,818 posts, read 5,981,183 times
Reputation: 1325
Not going to be a threat to the USA but might as well update:

...FRED INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.7 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...
805 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FRED IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON
THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.2N 31.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
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Old 09-09-2009, 10:43 AM
 
Location: S.E. Florida
392 posts, read 1,150,144 times
Reputation: 155
Fred is mad as hell and could be a Cat 4 storm soon........

Reason he's mad as hell is he's looking for Wilma and can't get over here to find her..... Winds just won't blow him this way
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