Would amnesty be the downfall of the Republican party?

[Baron von Costume]

Originally Posted by Roguer

I based my opinion on the fact that with an amnesty the overwhelming majority of newly amnestied illegal aliens will be Democratic voters. With such an overwhelming numerical advantage of Democratic voters, how could the Republican party ever win another election?

Roguer -

had not thought of it that way. From a purely demographic perspective, adding millions of largely poor, unskilled voters to the rolls would surely hurt the GOP chances. But then, the amnesty would give the illegals the right to remain in the US, but not citizenship (at least not right away). It would take time, and I wonder, what percentage of those would choose to become citizens as opposed to green card holders?

One of the misconceptions I think people in the US generally have is that the GOP has been wiped out in California (and that's in my estimation an accurate assessment) because of Mexican immigration. The biggest reason is the increased liberalisation of the state (look at, for example, how Marin County, Calif has voted since 1960, when it went for Nixon until now, when it arguably is the most reliably liberal, Democratic county in the whole country).

[ArizonaBear]

Originally Posted by Baron von Costume

Roguer -

had not thought of it that way. From a purely demographic perspective, adding millions of largely poor, unskilled voters to the rolls would surely hurt the GOP chances. But then, the amnesty would give the illegals the right to remain in the US, but not citizenship (at least not right away). It would take time, and I wonder, what percentage of those would choose to become citizens as opposed to green card holders?

One of the misconceptions I think people in the US generally have is that the GOP has been wiped out in California (and that's in my estimation an accurate assessment) because of Mexican immigration. The biggest reason is the increased liberalisation of the state (look at, for example, how Marin County, Calif has voted since 1960, when it went for Nixon until now, when it arguably is the most reliably liberal, Democratic county in the whole country).

And the sick irony is that today's 'liberal' ain't IMHO---------he/she do not give a damn about blue collar Americans be us White (and increasingly) Black, Anglo or Hispanic.

Part of what makes the Marin types gag is that the modern Blue Collar person has adopted many of the traits of upper crust society of 40 years ago..........few of us drink to excess anymore, far less smokers, small families, etc.