Quote:
Originally Posted by Drover
Sorry, but you don't get to say "the crime rate is actually lower" by hypothetically re-drawing the borders. As it stands, St. Louis proper has a much higher crime rate than Chicago proper. PERIOD. The statistics don't lie on this issue. If we were to play your game, we could also say, "well, Chicago's crime rate would be lower if it got to annex a bunch of suburbs all around it. More than 6 million people live in the suburbs outside the city and including them in the study would greatly dilute the overall crime rate." Well, Chicago doesn't get to do that either, and hasn't done so for decades. If you want to compare crime stats for the respective metropolitan areas, fine, let's do that. Then maybe St. Louis metro's crime rate is lower than the Chicago metro's crime rate. But I doubt it; I doubt either is higher or lower than the other by more than an insignificant margin.
Additionally, your anecdotes don't equal data. What the hell does "approached threateningly" even mean? Does that mean some scary-looking colored person walked toward you? If you were "approached threateningly" without anything actually happening to you, then just how "threatening" were these approaches?
I've not only visited Chicago, but lived here for YEARS without ever having a problem beyond having some bunglick key my car. But I've had that happen twice out in the suburbs too. If your friends won't come into Chicago because of all the muggings, then they're ninnies and they need to get a grip. Millions live here without ever getting mugged.
Speaking of which...
Robberies in Chicago, 2005: 551 per 100,000
Robberies in St. Louis, 2005: 851 per 100,000
Tell me again which city you're more scared to visit?
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Chicago, definitely. You look at a metro area compared to metro areas, and Chicago's rates are much higher than St. Louis'. St. Louis was affected in these rankings because of a high larceny theft rate, mostly consisting of stealing license plates.
I've been in St. Louis for YEARS without ever having anything happen. I'm not a racist and I know when I'm approached threateningly. It happened to me in London with a crazy (white) French guy, and it happened to happen to me in Chicago with a few different people.
If you don't know that statistics can lie, you've obviously never taken a stats class.
Chicago, actually, is left out of those surveys altogether (which the surveys don't tell you). Here is this that is in Chicago's Wikipedia article.
"The FBI often does not accept crime statistics submitted by the Chicago Police Department, which tallies data differently than other cities. The police record all criminal sexual assaults as opposed to only rape as with other police departments. Aggravated battery is counted along with the standard category of aggravated assault. As a result, Chicago is often omitted from studies like Morgan Quitno's annual "Safest/Most Dangerous City" survey."
So, Chicago wasn't even included in that study. Neither was New Orleans or other cities that didn't report their statistics.
Another study that looks at factors such as transient populations and things beyond a city's control sees Chicago stay virtually the same (7th to 8th) and St. Louis' rate fall from 6th to 12th.
http://www.cjgsu.net/initiatives/Hom...2003-08-03.htm
Let's limit Chicago to the 61 square miles of actual downtown Chi and we'll see how the rates stack up. Chicago gets to include outliers and St. Louis does not. I stand by what I said. In metropolitan areas, St. Louis is 129th out of 344 metropolitan areas. Let's see crime rates not spread over the five boroughs of Manhattan and let's see what happens to them in any 61 square mile area, when they can't be averaged out over any other set of people. You include University City, Clayton, Richmond Heights, and Ladue in the rankings and we'll see where St. Louis stands. If St. Louis wasn't limited by law to not annex, it would have annexed those areas long ago like any other city does.
Furthermore, the very author of the study doesn't even say it's accurate!
""I am stunned if there is a criminologist out there who will support this." Those are the words of Scott Morgan, president of Morgan Quitno Press, and very author of the study, as reported Tuesday, Oct. 31, in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, regarding his company's annual rankings of crime rates in the U.S."
http://record.wustl.edu/news/page/normal/8214.html
For a further discussion of how crime stats can be misleading check out this thread:
http://www.city-data.com/forum/north...isleading.html