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Old 08-24-2010, 12:16 PM
 
Location: Wherabouts Unknown!
7,841 posts, read 18,990,879 times
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Antlered Chamataka wrote: If the stock market crashes....

Perhaps this thread title could be better stated as: WHEN the stock market crashes....AGAIN
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Old 08-24-2010, 12:49 PM
 
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Well cool CosmicWizard, you've got it made since you know. Go short the DOW.
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Old 08-24-2010, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Wherabouts Unknown!
7,841 posts, read 18,990,879 times
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No thanks. Cash is fine by me. I leave the investment uncertainty to the gamblers.
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Old 08-24-2010, 01:35 PM
 
106,555 posts, read 108,696,306 times
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we could use another soothsayer......
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Old 08-24-2010, 02:04 PM
 
Location: Wherabouts Unknown!
7,841 posts, read 18,990,879 times
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Like Sgt Schultz of the Hogans Heros TV show frequently uttered....


I see nothing!

As a seer of nothing, I prefaced my statement in post #21 with the word PERHAPS.
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Old 08-25-2010, 07:21 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
7,085 posts, read 12,049,927 times
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I don't see why anyone is not in gold for the long haul.
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Old 08-25-2010, 08:01 AM
 
106,555 posts, read 108,696,306 times
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Gold is great to have as part of an investment portfolio but i would never bet the ranch on just 1 outcome. things shift so fast by things not even on the radar that every time something look like its the only possible outcome something from left field totaly alters that outcome.
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Old 08-25-2010, 08:16 AM
 
8,263 posts, read 12,192,775 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by subsound View Post
I don't see why anyone is not in gold for the long haul.
It is a very volatile commodity that over the last three decades has lost value in real terms and been easily outperformed by stocks, bonds, and real estate.

Yeah above example is purposely selecting a disadvantageous starting point in time but just making a point, it's not some long-term panacea vs. inflation or safe harbor of guaranteed growth that some seem to think.
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Old 08-25-2010, 08:38 AM
 
106,555 posts, read 108,696,306 times
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it was certainly great the last decade up over 400%....... and like i always say, even if you bought at the peak of 1,000 bucks decades ago, and merely held it in your portfolio and rebalanced every year you would now have an average annual return of 9.2% on your gold vs doing the same thing on the s&p 500 and getting 9.8%.

thats why its important to have a plan that involves rebalancing and sticking with that plan.

thats pretty impressive when you think about it.

Last edited by mathjak107; 08-25-2010 at 08:58 AM..
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Old 08-27-2010, 02:19 AM
 
Location: USA
2,593 posts, read 4,236,953 times
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Most "experts" don't see a crash happening. They see long-term stagnation. The DOW will likely sit right around the 10,000 mark for the next 5 to 7 years.
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