Quote:
Originally Posted by Antlered Chamataka
Looks like 6.3 yesterday could be the bottom. Wish I had the guts and nuts to make this buy.
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$6.87 at the moment.
Then buy 10 of the May 2012 $8 call options for $1.48 or $1480.
We have 7 days left on the August options. You can get .23 (or $230) for a August 20 $8 call.
What could happen:
1. The stock goes above $8 and you keep the $230 and the value of your May $8 call becomes about $1750 = a total profit of $500 ($230 + $270) in less than 2 weeks.
2. The stock stays below $8.00. Keep the $230 and now your cost for the May $8 calls is $1250 and you sell another one in September.
You can sell these every month. Since the August $8 calls only have 7 days left, then in September, if #2 above happens, do not sell the September $8.00 call too quickly. Give the stock a chance to move up and you might be able to get about the same 23 cents for a September $9.00 call.
They also have weekly options.
From now to May you have 38 weeks.
$1480 (your cost for the May $8 calls) / 38 weeks = less than 40 cents per week. Since you have 10 contracts you could sell the weekly $8 or $9 call, for only .04, and over the 38 weeks recover all of your initial cost.
The idea of course is to not jump and sell the option the first week of the new month,
give the stock a chance to run up.
You might decide to just sell your May $8.00 calls and take the profit.
Downside:
The stock goes down and you have to sell lower strike options, like a $7.00 call to make maybe 23 cents, or $230 a month.
Doing the monthly options, you got 9 months left. If you sold the $8 or $9 calls (or other higher ones if the stock moved up) for around 23 cents
= $230 x 9 = $1970. You only invested $1480.
Worst case the stock goes WAY down and you have to sell lower strikes each month, or each week, like a $6 call.
Or just spend $6870.00 for 1000 shares.
Using the above call spread lowers your risk.
$6870 could go to zero.
$1480 could go to zero.
Do you use options at all?