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View Poll Results: Safest asset for capital preservation
Gold 10 24.39%
US Treasurys 22 53.66%
Canadian/UK/German Treasurys 1 2.44%
US Dollars under a mattress 7 17.07%
Emerging market Treasurys 1 2.44%
Voters: 41. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-12-2016, 10:38 AM
 
106,671 posts, read 108,833,673 times
Reputation: 80164

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Remember what i said , the permanent portfolio is not about growing richer. It is about not growing poorer. Not by depression ,recession or high inflation.

Each asset was carefully picked because there will likely be few times things do not track how they should.

A very weak dollar is covered just fine by gold. But betting when you have a weak or collapsing dollar that international stocks will grow is clouding the issue.

Each asset is carefully matched to an economic outcome.

This not about growth potential it is about assets pulling reliably against other reliable assets.
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Old 02-12-2016, 02:28 PM
 
8,886 posts, read 4,582,090 times
Reputation: 16242
If I could answer the poll question I'd be retired, living in Hawaii, and watching the sunrise over the Pacific every morning.

Oh wait, I am living that life. But I still have no clue how to answer the poll question. Mathjack's 4 corner strategy is probably the best bet, though.

Mahalo.
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Old 02-12-2016, 02:42 PM
 
Location: Near Sacramento
903 posts, read 583,535 times
Reputation: 2487
You forgot CDs.
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:12 PM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,558,340 times
Reputation: 2207
Actually i would say real estate.

For a decade at least you wouldn't lose any money.

Long USD is laughable cause every year dollar loses value.

Good luck buying a car wash in the next decade with $20
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:28 PM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,587,222 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J.Thomas View Post
Actually i would say real estate.

For a decade at least you wouldn't lose any money.

Long USD is laughable cause every year dollar loses value.

Good luck buying a car wash in the next decade with $20


The dollar doesn't lose value every year and you can lose money over 10 years in real estate. Overall F-
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:37 PM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,558,340 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
The dollar doesn't lose value every year and you can lose money over 10 years in real estate. Overall F-
Of course you can but it's very unlikely.

Buy a place for $200.000 in an average place and keep another $200.000 under the mattress.

Real estate is good for preserving
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:43 PM
 
106,671 posts, read 108,833,673 times
Reputation: 80164
We have a whole generation of folks who can tell you well real estate preserved their money.
It didn't !
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:48 PM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,558,340 times
Reputation: 2207
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
We have a whole generation of folks who can tell you well real estate preserved their money.
It didn't !
On long term basis it does.

Hell even after '08 they still came back!!!

And now housing is tight you wouldn't lose anything.

Remember we're talking about preserving not investment
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:51 PM
 
106,671 posts, read 108,833,673 times
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The thread is only about the next 10 years.

There is no asset that has not recovered eventually , even gold did. It is only a question of time. Historically fastest recovery's are usually stocks, longest commodity's and real estate to local dependent to even say
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Old 02-12-2016, 03:55 PM
 
28,895 posts, read 54,157,635 times
Reputation: 46685
Commercial real estate in a Sun Belt state.
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