Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics > Investing
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 10-25-2017, 03:18 AM
 
106,566 posts, read 108,713,667 times
Reputation: 80058

Advertisements

risk and volatility can be very different .

putting your money in to 100% equity funds is volatile , but as long as you are in for decades it IS NOT very risky at all .

picking a handful of stocks and hoping for the next apple is risky . betting the ranch on a sector is risky .

there is a difference and more risk does not always equate to better gains . it is something that just comes many times out of not knowing how to invest and so you end up speculating .

i had my retirement funds 100% in diversified funds but there was little risk , but plenty of volatility along the way . 100k in the model portfolio i used in 1987 without another penny added is 2.40 million . that is little risk but a lot of volatility .

somehow i think you mean volatility but are using the word risk .

the natural market cycles over long periods of time are volatile , but have proved not to be much risk . it is only speculating over the short term and trying to time market cycles that you create more risk by using long term investments for shorter term money .
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 10-25-2017, 04:52 AM
 
Location: 415->916->602
3,145 posts, read 2,656,593 times
Reputation: 3872
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
risk and volatility can be very different .

putting your money in to 100% equity funds is volatile , but as long as you are in for decades it IS NOT very risky at all .

picking a handful of stocks and hoping for the next apple is risky . betting the ranch on a sector is risky .

there is a difference and more risk does not always equate to better gains . it is something that just comes many times out of not knowing how to invest and so you end up speculating .

i had my retirement funds 100% in diversified funds but there was little risk , but plenty of volatility along the way . 100k in the model portfolio i used in 1987 without another penny added is 2.40 million . that is little risk but a lot of volatility .

somehow i think you mean volatility but are using the word risk .

the natural market cycles over long periods of time are volatile , but have proved not to be much risk . it is only speculating over the short term and trying to time market cycles that you create more risk by using long term investments for shorter term money .


That makes more sense.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 04:53 AM
 
Location: Central Massachusetts
6,593 posts, read 7,083,282 times
Reputation: 9331
Quote:
Originally Posted by 49erfan916 View Post
I was thinking super aggressive in my IRA account. But I want to hear from other members of this board if you guys would do something so risky as well?
Quote:
Originally Posted by 49erfan916 View Post
im 32 years old and probably 30+ years from retirement.


For a 32 year old investor like yourself your best and most important asset is time. Time to recover the market volatility. As mathjak says risky and volatility are two different things. Risky would be investing in the next bright idea only to find that it was just a fad.

Instead think of the investment as volatile and use that to your advantage. If you are investing for retirement and you are 32 you should be 100% in equities. But not in just one or two stocks. You should be in either a nice passively managed or a very good actively managed index fund that covers the entire market. Something like Vanguard's Wellington Global index would be a great first IRA. Once you have an established baseline then add in others. Since it is an IRA remember you should do that as a Roth unless you absolutely need the tax deduction now.

But let me go one step further. If you have access to a 401k at work and it has a matching element to it you should be there first. Take the match as free money and do not leave it on the table. Then next investment available money from your pay go to the Roth up to max ($5,500). After that return to your 401k to as much money as you can afford to invest. The 401k will allow you to put up to $18k of your own money. so the break down goes like this of your investable income you can use.

1- 401k up to company match.
2- Roth IRA up to max (5.5k)
3- 401k as much as you can up to max (18k)

Hope that makes sense to you. Good luck.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 05:06 AM
 
Location: 415->916->602
3,145 posts, read 2,656,593 times
Reputation: 3872
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsoldier1976 View Post
For a 32 year old investor like yourself your best and most important asset is time. Time to recover the market volatility. As mathjak says risky and volatility are two different things. Risky would be investing in the next bright idea only to find that it was just a fad.

Instead think of the investment as volatile and use that to your advantage. If you are investing for retirement and you are 32 you should be 100% in equities. But not in just one or two stocks. You should be in either a nice passively managed or a very good actively managed index fund that covers the entire market. Something like Vanguard's Wellington Global index would be a great first IRA. Once you have an established baseline then add in others. Since it is an IRA remember you should do that as a Roth unless you absolutely need the tax deduction now.

But let me go one step further. If you have access to a 401k at work and it has a matching element to it you should be there first. Take the match as free money and do not leave it on the table. Then next investment available money from your pay go to the Roth up to max ($5,500). After that return to your 401k to as much money as you can afford to invest. The 401k will allow you to put up to $18k of your own money. so the break down goes like this of your investable income you can use.

1- 401k up to company match.
2- Roth IRA up to max (5.5k)
3- 401k as much as you can up to max (18k)

Hope that makes sense to you. Good luck.


Thank you so much, my dudes. I'm opening a roth this year and I get my IRA into more volatile stocks.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 07:40 AM
 
5,342 posts, read 6,164,572 times
Reputation: 4719
It depends on how you evaluate risk. My entire portfolio is like 97% stocks. My 401k itself is 55% Russell 1k, 15% Russell 2k, 20% International Index Fund, 10% Bond Fund, but I'm in my early/mid 30s.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 07:48 AM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,108,628 times
Reputation: 18603
At 32, or even 42 or 52, you should have an emergency fund but investments that are almost all in equities. Long term that will provide the best opportunity for growth.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 11:40 AM
 
30,891 posts, read 36,937,375 times
Reputation: 34511
Quote:
Originally Posted by 49erfan916 View Post
Stock fund/etf (UPRO).

I'm going to open an roth ira with ETF and apple and boeing. (starting out withthe initial $5500)


I want to go aggressive for about 5 years, then pull it back to a moderately conservative approach.
It sounds like a small portion of your retirement savings. I have no idea whether those 2 stocks will work out well, but if they don't, it probably won't hurt you too much.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 01:45 PM
 
Location: Paranoid State
13,044 posts, read 13,858,996 times
Reputation: 15839
You can both lower your risk and improve your results by choosing something more like a 60/40 portfolio... and then using leverage.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 02:26 PM
 
Location: Florida -
10,213 posts, read 14,824,183 times
Reputation: 21847
At 32, risking one's retirement funds is a far different matter than risking them at 60 or older. The difference is time to recover. "Risk" is also a widely interpreted concept. With some, it is essentially 'gambling,' with others it is 'intelligently investing in less conservative equities.' The notion of "risking" ALL of one's retirement funds on "super aggressive" stocks, sounds more like 'gambling,' than 'investing.'

When I was your age, I confused the concepts of 'gambling' and 'investing' in a highly volatile market. To me, that meant using highly leveraged vehicles to "invest" (puts, calls, straddles, margins, day trading). My rationale was, if I 'won', I would win big, and if I lost, I would be better off losing what I had then, than later when I had more to lose and less time to recover. I lost (about $15-$20K in 1970's), but, ultimately "won" because it taught me a valuable, but, painful lesson about 'gambling' in the stock market -- one that carried me through the rest of my working career and into a comfortable retirement.

Remember, there are a lot of high volume "investors" who have a lot more information and automated tools than you can imagine. They spend all of their time and resources trying to 'beat the market,' yet, for every one that 'wins', another loses. Your odds of winning as a casual investor (of your retirement funds) in super-aggressive stocks ... are not very high. Why not try-out your theories with a small subset of your funds and see what happens?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-25-2017, 02:43 PM
 
Location: NY/LA
4,663 posts, read 4,545,565 times
Reputation: 4140
Quote:
Originally Posted by SportyandMisty View Post
You can both lower your risk and improve your results by choosing something more like a 60/40 portfolio... and then using leverage.
Can you give an example? What kind of leverage? Buying on margin?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics > Investing

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top