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Old 04-08-2018, 09:09 AM
 
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Give us your opinion. I say the bear comes just before it gets there and we don't see it until 2022.
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Old 04-08-2018, 02:09 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
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It's tough... just because of so much stuff ahead of us, trade war, interest rates, mid term elections etc. I just see some serious rattling of the markets in the next couple of years but that is part of the market cycles, we've had a run up now we need to do some shakedown over the next year or two... just part of the game. However, I think there will be some great buying opportunities ahead for the patient.

As for SPX at 3000, I am guessing not in the next 2+ years at a minimum... we are heading lower before heading higher. There is a lot of resistance between current levels and the last all time high at 2850+ so first we need to break all that resistance to recapture the last high, then climb even higher, that is a lot to ask of this current market.
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Old 04-08-2018, 02:21 PM
 
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Speculation, but I'll join the game. Market retests the highs before entering a full-fledged bear market in late 2018 or early 2019. Probably at least 3 years before the old highs are taken out.
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Old 04-08-2018, 02:37 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Lizap View Post
Speculation, but I'll join the game. Market retests the highs before entering a full-fledged bear market in late 2018 or early 2019. Probably at least 3 years before the old highs are taken out.
Which begs the question...why be in equities at that point The answer to that is because what if it just keeps going higher? Then you lose big chunks of gains..

I am going to say I thought the additional run up in January was the WORST thing that could have happened to the market. Most of this correction is just retracing that move. If we were around flat to down 2 percent without a big run up then run down, people would be thinking normal sideways traction. Instead we are left trying to recover an abnormal greed take by investors.
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Old 04-08-2018, 03:53 PM
 
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Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Which begs the question...why be in equities at that point The answer to that is because what if it just keeps going higher? Then you lose big chunks of gains..

I am going to say I thought the additional run up in January was the WORST thing that could have happened to the market. Most of this correction is just retracing that move. If we were around flat to down 2 percent without a big run up then run down, people would be thinking normal sideways traction. Instead we are left trying to recover an abnormal greed take by investors.
If the market tries to retest highs, I would use this opportunity to make portfolio more conservative, if your time frame is not long-term.
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Old 04-08-2018, 04:18 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Lizap View Post
If the market tries to retest highs, I would use this opportunity to make portfolio more conservative, if your time frame is not long-term.
. I'm 5-8 years out...the lousy spot. LOL... Its why I'm 50/50 win either way ..lose either way.
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Old 04-08-2018, 04:26 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Lizap View Post
If the market tries to retest highs, I would use this opportunity to make portfolio more conservative, if your time frame is not long-term.
That's what I'm counting on, and I hope bond yields will rise at that time to make it an even better deal to rotate gains into bonds.

S&P500 at 3000, my bet is the year 2023.
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Old 04-08-2018, 05:07 PM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
When does the S&P reach 3,000
All in good time.

Patience is the key.
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Old 04-09-2018, 10:15 AM
 
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In 421 days
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Old 04-15-2018, 11:32 AM
 
Location: The Triad
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S&P 500 closing 1/2/2018? 2695
S&P 500 closing 4/3/2018? 2656
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