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Old 07-16-2018, 02:25 PM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,568,036 times
Reputation: 22772

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Quote:
Originally Posted by motterpaul View Post
NETFLIX EARNINGS TODAY - AFTER HOURS

does anyone know the exact time?
Down 50 bucks after hours, should have both longer dated puts
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Old 07-16-2018, 02:50 PM
 
132 posts, read 119,750 times
Reputation: 81
It was a freaky-bad miss. I wouldn't buy it here. I was thinking of going short a few minutes ago, but it seems to be clawing its way back from a low of 343 to 346.

I am guessing it will drop during the conference call - because the outlook has been lowered as well.

The only place they beat was EPS - BUT a lot of that was international and it all could be from a stronger dollar.

The only way it will go up is if they announce some of the price changes I mentioned a few post back.

Conference call here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZN_PwZdsLA

Last edited by motterpaul; 07-16-2018 at 04:04 PM..
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Old 07-16-2018, 02:55 PM
 
132 posts, read 119,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
Down 50 bucks after hours, should have both longer dated puts
I should have but the options that expired after the earnings report were priced a lot higher (of course).
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Old 07-16-2018, 07:46 PM
 
Location: 415->916->602
3,145 posts, read 2,656,593 times
Reputation: 3872
damn. lol
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Old 07-16-2018, 09:44 PM
 
Location: USA
805 posts, read 1,084,379 times
Reputation: 1433
Man, today hurt big time. No panic selling plans for me, gotta ride it out and see what tomorrow (and the next couple months) brings.
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Old 07-16-2018, 11:15 PM
 
Location: 415->916->602
3,145 posts, read 2,656,593 times
Reputation: 3872
Quote:
Originally Posted by nyyfanatic85 View Post
Man, today hurt big time. No panic selling plans for me, gotta ride it out and see what tomorrow (and the next couple months) brings.
I'm buying the dip and this is one big ass dip.
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Old 07-17-2018, 01:25 AM
 
Location: Silicon Valley
7,643 posts, read 4,589,722 times
Reputation: 12698
Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
yes, but it is costing them a bomb to produce all that content, they have spending projections for $20 billion and current debt of $5 billion. What happens when they run out of money for new content which is what will happen when cheap capital becomes scarce in a recession. Also, they may lose subscribers during a recession as extras like Netflix could get cut or accounts consolidated due to increased sharing.

Easy to make money during a strong economy, the real test is upcoming.
They are truly causing a golden era of content development. In the upcoming year Netflix will spend more on content development than the entire US Theater Box Office take.

Effectively what they've done is launched a price war in content distribution. Company has great moat and positioning, and has done so at the cost of making an unprecedented amount of content for much less revenue.

The big question is whether they'll be able to fine tune it in a manner that will consistently be possible. Cutback on development content for all and people will start to drop them, go elsewhere.

They've bought a place at the table, but at some point they're going to need to show a profit for their seat. That's a tough act to pull at $10 a month.
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Old 07-17-2018, 07:57 AM
 
Location: NY/LA
4,663 posts, read 4,545,565 times
Reputation: 4140
Who's buying the dip this morning?
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Old 07-17-2018, 08:49 AM
 
12,101 posts, read 17,083,796 times
Reputation: 15771
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. Zero View Post
Who's buying the dip this morning?
I bought it back after selling it last month. But I'm going to watch it very carefully.

In retrospect, selling it off was a wise move.
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Old 07-17-2018, 10:10 AM
 
12,101 posts, read 17,083,796 times
Reputation: 15771
Be amazing if it gets to 400 by the end of the day.
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