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Old 07-18-2018, 03:56 PM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
27,541 posts, read 28,625,446 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
But I thought you said the risk of loss is the price of investing no?
There is no way to 100% guarantee that your account won't go to zero tomorrow. If there is some cataclysmic historical event, then your account may go to zero. Barring that, however, based on historical performance, the probability is that you will have a good return over 30 years if you put your money in a stock market index.

Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Google are some of the hot stocks of today. But they likely won't be 30 years from now. That is because individual companies usually have a shelf life, after which they fade and other companies take over. And that is why it is much more risky to buy individual stocks for the long term.
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Old 07-18-2018, 04:15 PM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,565,123 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCityDreamer View Post
There is no way to 100% guarantee that your account won't go to zero tomorrow. If there is some cataclysmic historical event, then your account may go to zero. Barring that, however, based on historical performance, the probability is that you will have a good return over 30 years if you put your money in a stock market index.

Apple, Amazon, Facebook and Google are some of the hot stocks of today. But they likely won't be 30 years from now. That is because individual companies usually have a shelf life, after which they fade and other companies take over. And that is why it is much more risky to buy individual stocks for the long term.

While I know this already you’ve really explained why someone would pick the s&p 500 over the nasdaq 100 fwiw
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Old 07-18-2018, 04:29 PM
 
Location: East Coast of the United States
27,541 posts, read 28,625,446 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
While I know this already you’ve really explained why someone would pick the s&p 500 over the nasdaq 100 fwiw
The question is whether we expect the NASDAQ to outperform the S&P 500 over the next 30 years.
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Old 07-18-2018, 04:54 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,780,328 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCityDreamer View Post
The question is whether we expect the NASDAQ to outperform the S&P 500 over the next 30 years.
That is essentially predicting the future LOL! How can that question even be answered? 30 years is a lifetime. Perhaps we can estimate for the next year or two, but 30 years out?
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Old 07-18-2018, 05:43 PM
 
24,396 posts, read 26,928,524 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCityDreamer View Post
The NASDAQ has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years.

So, I'm wondering what would be your reasons for investing in the S&P 500 over the NASDAQ. Do you think tech's heyday is over?

SPY gives more exposure
QQQ is more specific


It's like why would anyone buy VTI when TSLA has gone up more in the past 5 years?
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