For my writings I do the following....
keep the tv on all day switching from cnbc to foxbusines with an occaisional landing on bloomberg (I think I am one of 5 that watch it).
I couple that with watching the major party hacks for talking points (riley, hannity, olbermann, etc) and a littel hardball and lou dobbs.
And I hit the cnbc website for drama as well as certain obvious 'fed' links on places like fark and digg.
Taking all these bits of data it is usually easy to find major and minor companies that will be going up or down. Providing you know the companies involved around the subject matter of the talking points.
This can be short term (days) or long term (months to a year). You have to watch it all day to really see the patterns.
You may think this is all about a 'big company' but that is not true. Lots of companies are revolved around one big news item. Where the big company can bounce up and down, it is the little one that is the 'little train that could' sometimes.
Also, it is very important, you must really perk up when a government official or a ceo goes on a business or political show. He/she is specifically there for a reason. And what they say will have direct ramifications in the coming days or weeks. Sometimes they are there to feel out the public, other times they are there to begin a process previously 'felt out'.
Rumors...when you hear of a 'rumor' and it is followed by a high level leak.... something is going to happen...maybe. The rumor is the first test. If the rumor does not go over to bad, whatever it is, the next step is the high level leak. If it gets to that stage, you can start to ascertain where they are going. Unless something really odd happens, a 'thing' will go to final position once the leak is out.
You know a hundred percent it will happen if the leak becomes recognized by a public official.
This can net you lots of great ideas and stocks. Not just big plays, but small companies. But it takes a lot of hours of continually hearing the same kool aid all day, hour after hour.
But if you do it for one week, you will start to see a lot of noise...and in that noise will be small patterns of information...the following week you will see the results of those patterns and it will start making sense.
By the way....get out of the market before april. Really. Either a nice crash or a crazy speculation is going to happen. If a speculation, it will result in crash.
In the late 1920s, before the market crash, there was a real estate crash. It caused bank failures and massive runs on banks. The market went down. Small banks died everywhere, big banks held on....get ready for it....by the government supporting them with tons of capitol.
The huge infusion of capitol led to even greedier bankers...which led to 25% margin lending on stocks...which made the market shoot up....which then resulted in the recognizable fluctuations and inevitable crash.
Does any of this sound familiar?
If you look at speeches back then and now too....a year or two before the crash....it will spook the heck out of you as you recognize the same stuff the media is spewing right now.
Socialism? Oh, that word was used quite heavily back then.. ask hoover before he was president...when he was in the cabinet of the president before him.
April and october....I would sell before those months and if you want, go back in after the month is over. May be a speculatiive boom in each month, my guess is a chance for a huge crash.
And good luck...
www.politicalgateway.com
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