Hello Y'all:
Here is the update on the Transit scene as I see it shaking out right now.
BRT-BUS RAPID TRANSIT:
We will have this, but it won't be the expensive "Quick way System" of BRT with it's own freeways running across the city. Rather we will have a form of BRT called "Light Rail Lite". A much more reasonable expense with buses running in HOV lanes. Watch for this to show up on Boulevard, Lem Turner, Norwood first, then spread out in places such as Arlington Expressway, Philips, Blanding, JTB etc. This is a system that makes sense and one I will support.
Don't expect it to be the Salvation of Mass Transit that is predicted from around the world. I expect ridership to improve slightly and the schedules to look much better. We may attract some more office commuters to ride, but otherwise, until it is part of a matrix that includes Streetcar-Skyway-Rail-Water-City Bus, it isn't going to cure anything.
STREETCAR
Another GOING TO HAPPEN project. As cheap to build as the BRT above, expect the first line to show up between the Hyatt and 5-Points. Though I'd like to see it a bit more involved in the movements about the city. You NYC fans will like the fact that I see this on PARK AVENUE (sorry Park St).
This will make investments along that stretch very good. In fact the result will be the Streetcar will "pull the city west".
What I'd like to see would be a starter route from St. Vincents at King and St. Johns up King to Park to Water to Newnan to Beaver to Stadium. Phase two would include Springfield, Gateway, Main St., 8Th street (Shands), Fairfax, Roosevelt Plaza.
This system can SELF FINANCE once the starter is going up.

COMMUTER RAIL:
Another GOING TO HAPPEN project. Right now they are looking at Yulee (park and ride for Georgia-Fernandina areas), St. Augustine West, Green Cove Springs and MAYBE Macclenny as end points.
Unless JTA goes regional - which is being done all over the country, don't expect to see Duval residents spring for anything beyond our bounds. So the final product - even with all the promise won't come about until Nassau, Clay, Baker, St. Johns, all get on-board.
Also WATCH AMTRAK and the new budget under the Democrats, the improvements they create will only enhance the chances of our rail system reaching that 91 mile first goal.
Also watch for certain Old Railroad Planners to stick their noses in and push AMTRAK-FDOT-JTA-ALACHUA into a "regional train" via West Jax.
Union Terminal - Edgewood - Marietta - White House - Baldwin - Starke - Alachua - Gainesville. See also TALLAHASSEE "Statehouse Trains".

AMTRAK:
Current plans are for the carrier to move the Northeast Corridor right down the Coast to Jacksonville. CSX has applied for the $$ loan to triple track the mainline, it was "suggested" they apply. LOL.
Amtrak is coming back downtown, they can't stay in the AM-SHACK forever. When they return to town, big things are going to start happening.
Watch for a 5 train grid to NYC. Also a 5 train grid to Miami via the FEC, 5 via the "A" line to Orlando (Roosevelt Bl), and another group running via Ocala. Ditto with Tampa-Orlando, Orlando-Miami, Miami-Tampa. Amtrak already has a model IN HAND, that shows with this many conventional trains running at 79 MPH (typical Florida Mainline Track Speed) they will recover 100% of the cost. FDOT and JTA are looking to climb onboard. This will also have a powerful effect on our Commuter Rail Plans.
OTHER AMTRAK? Yes, ATLANTA - and if we make enough noise and join with Valdosta, we'll get the "AIR-LINE" to Valdosta and hence North via the I-75 corridor Valdosta-Macon-Atlanta.
NEW ORLEANS - You Betchie, This train is MANDATED by the new Amtrak funding. Don't expect the Sunset to return - the timing in the Panhandle was HORRIBLE. However do expect a daytime JAX-NEW ORLEANS train to run again, perhaps using the old "GULF WIND" name.
CHICAGO-MEMPHIS-NASHVILLE-CINCINNATI - Well? I HAVE seen lines on some maps.
SKYWAY:
The City stepchild, but as rail comes home to downtown the pressure will mount to get this horizontal elevator to do some real distribution. Expect little things under the current administration (if anything). Then watch it expand down Riverside to Blue Cross/Everbank/DuPont/Fedility. Southside it will make it down to the Hilton and on to Atlantic, on the WEST SIDE OF THE FEC in San Marco, next to the Commuter Rail line. BUS-RAIL-SKYWAY station. Northbank - by the next BIG GAME - we will be running into the stadium area. Can you imagine the WORLD impact as they tune in the Superbowl and see a US stadium with Monorail trains running in and out? Call it the best investment in PR we have ever made, on the World mind we'd soar from "Jackso - what" to "JACKSONVILLE a living EPOCT".

BUS:
BIG - BIG changes all over town. New and many more routes. The end of the stupid Potato-Chip-Truck "trolleys" and something more unique for our shuttles.
More intercounty services if we go regional. Catch a city bus to Penny Farms? Green Cove? Nocatee? Fernandina? Kings Bay? Why not?
Within the City as commuter rail, skyway and streetcar take to the stage, many displaced buses will be re-deployed all over the urban area to close the long headways from 40 minutes down to more like 15.
Community Busing, this is happening as I write, big plans to take each community within the Metro and give it it's own bus service. Ride YOUR BUS to YOUR SCHOOL, MALL, STORE, WINN DIXIE etc...
BRT lanes will expand out from rail as rail takes root, THEN you'll see BRT explode with growth and usage. Let's see I can DRIVE JTB from my house or shall I ride? NO BRAINER GUYS.

WATER:
"As the Sun pulls away from the pier and our boat sinks slowly in the East" I'm not so positive that this thing will ever float. First it's slow and consumes lot's-o-fuel. If you go high speed, fuel is less but you kill Manatees. FAT CHANCE.
As good as the idea sounds, how many of those poor Jacksonville residents unfortunate enough to live on the St. Johns River need a ride to work? NOT.
Expect some improvements in the downtown area, maybe something down to the Cedar River or NAS JAX, but that's all I see here.

FINANCE:
Watch for the FTA to change the rules as our new fearless leader takes command. Money will free-up for Mass Transit and the old 80/20 will probably return. New Starts will get funded and the anti-rail bias will vanish. Heads are going to roll all over the USDOT-FTA etc.
Use of alternate fuels, alternate energy, hybrids, bio, etc... are going to make the whole program much more affordable. In some cases it may PAY to PLAY.
