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Old 07-31-2008, 11:32 AM
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Default How "red" is KY?

I'm wondering if I should even bother to register to vote. I'm thinking my little blue vote probably doesn't matter here.
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Old 07-31-2008, 11:37 AM
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Not to get preachy, but it always "matters" to vote. Plus, there are more elections than just presidential. You've got congressional, state and local and KY doesn't vote "red" across the board on those.
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Old 07-31-2008, 12:37 PM
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On a presidential level KY will only go for a blue dog type Democrat like Clinton or Carter (KY went Clinton twice, Carter once) or a Republican.

On a local level it's very evenly divided btw conservative Democrats and Republicans. Louisville & Lexington are really the only places that send liberal Democrats into the state house/ senate. Republicans narrowly hold the state senate while Democrats narrowly hold the state house
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Old 07-31-2008, 02:41 PM
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On the national level, we're about as red as it gets. On the other hand, Jim Bunning could be very vulnerable the next time he runs, and obviously the governor races are winnable for Democrats.

So I'd encourage you to register and vote. You can make a difference in almost every race but the presidential one.
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Old 07-31-2008, 08:17 PM
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An interesting bit of information, Kentucky has predicted the presidential winner in the last 10 elections, three of which went to the democrats. So, possibly... how Kentucky goes, the nation goes.
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Old 07-31-2008, 09:06 PM
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Originally Posted by censusdata View Post
On a presidential level KY will only go for a blue dog type Democrat like Clinton or Carter (KY went Clinton twice, Carter once) or a Republican.

On a local level it's very evenly divided btw conservative Democrats and Republicans. Louisville & Lexington are really the only places that send liberal Democrats into the state house/ senate. Republicans narrowly hold the state senate while Democrats narrowly hold the state house
Very much true. The state's House is about 60/40 Dems to Repubs and the state's Senate is about 55/45 Repubs to Dems. So yeah, very close splits.

Lexington and Louisville each send either very right-wing or very left-wing elected officials to these chambers. Very few elected officials in the middle. Still, the most left-wing officials come from these cities.

Interestingly enough, while rural Kentucky sends mostly "blue dog" Democrats to Frankfort, some of them are populist yet "progressive" left-wingers at the same time. Prime examples include Robin Webb of Grayson and Tanya Pullin of Greenup.

But yeah, at the national level we're red. At the state level, it's pretty evenly split. At the local election levels, most mayors and judge-executives are Democrats, so they're blue.
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On the national level, we're about as red as it gets. On the other hand, Jim Bunning could be very vulnerable the next time he runs, and obviously the governor races are winnable for Democrats.

So I'd encourage you to register and vote. You can make a difference in almost every race but the presidential one.
Agreed!

By the way, I'll vote for Jim Bunning, as well as McConnell. I agree with their social and political core values, but I think both men are, uhmmmm...jerks. Primarily, I'll be voting for them b/c I'm scared of having somebody like Lunsford, or perhaps Yarmuth or Abramson represent the entire state. (Not an anti-Louisville statement at all, but I'm not fond of that city's numerous far left politicians.)
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Old 07-31-2008, 11:40 PM
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Usually the Democratic primaries are more interesting than the Republican ones; the Democrats will have several choices while the Republicans will have just the one. That is one reason to be a registered Democrat - more interesting primaries.
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Old 08-01-2008, 12:43 AM
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I cant see how this state could vote for a republican again after what has happened to the economy the past 7 years..... the last I checked we were number 10 in highest unemployment? Has that changed any? But yeah it will go red again this fall I would guess.
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Old 08-01-2008, 11:43 AM
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I cant see how this state could vote for a republican again after what has happened to the economy the past 7 years..... the last I checked we were number 10 in highest unemployment? Has that changed any? But yeah it will go red again this fall I would guess.

Unemployment rates in Kentucky vary greatly county by county. The county I live in has one of the lowest rates of unemployment, but one county over it is high and has been historically, not just the past 7 years.
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Old 08-02-2008, 05:07 AM
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Yes thats true, but over the course of the past 8 years Kentucky as a whole has rose from an average of around 4 percent to around 6 percent. Thats a big shift.
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