L'ville population-what happened (Lexington, Louisville, Newburg: neighborhood, moving, estimate)

[stx12499]

Originally Posted by censusdata

What's going on in Shively, PRP, St Dennis, Buechel, and Okolona is that middle class White residents are leaving in droves for new developments off the Gene Snyder and also to Bullitt and Spencer Counties. These people are replaced by middle class Blacks, with Hispanics moving in to the area's apartment complexes. Other than PRP, all of those areas I mentioned lost more than 10% of their White population just from 1990 to 2000. (I did a class project on this subject in a class last semester)

By comparison, the large amount of young professionals moving into the inner East End makes the White population in The Highlands, Downtown, Old Louisville, and Crescent Hill stable, so a moderate rise in minority population gives these areas a net increase in population.

One thing to remember is that the average household size today is MUCH smaller than it used to be, so you need more houses built just to house the same amount of people.

Your last point is quite KEY and the reason even the healthiest cities will never return to their pre WWII populations. Smaller household sizes and the types of people attracted to the city either live alone or as couples or very small families. The days of mom, dad, and the two kids in middle class suburbia are over. This isn't 1950.

[missymomof3]

Originally Posted by stx12499

Your last point is quite KEY and the reason even the healthiest cities will never return to their pre WWII populations. Smaller household sizes and the types of people attracted to the city either live alone or as couples or very small families. The days of mom, dad, and the two kids in middle class suburbia are over. This isn't 1950.

No, they aren't over just a tad less common. I know very few childless or less that two child couples so to say it is over is inaccurate.

[censusdata]

Originally Posted by stx12499

Your last point is quite KEY and the reason even the healthiest cities will never return to their pre WWII populations. Smaller household sizes and the types of people attracted to the city either live alone or as couples or very small families. The days of mom, dad, and the two kids in middle class suburbia are over. This isn't 1950.

It also explains why gentrifying areas usually experience a slight loss in population (including Old Louisville and the Original Highlands in the 1990s) while declining areas (like Shively & the Taylor Blvd area) often have population gains. Lower income people, across all racial lines, have more children than wealthier people. For example, in an area like Original Highlands low income people with several children would move out and be replaced with wealthier childless couples.

[missymomof3]

I think it is partially because alot of people are just plain dying off. Most of my neighbors growing up were elderly and alot of my neighbors now are getting that way too.

[stx12499]

Originally Posted by missymomof3

No, they aren't over just a tad less common. I know very few childless or less that two child couples so to say it is over is inaccurate.

Missy, I mean this as no offense, but where you live is not even remotely comprable to the city's urban areas inside I-264, especially, the highly educated areas east of I-65. Educated, high income people have less children. It's a census defined fact and censusdata has reiterated it above. I don't believe there is a single census tract west of I-65 with a median income above 60k or bachelor's degree attainment above 30%. So as he said, an area like the original highlands may actually have flat popuation growth but millions in rehab and new condo construction as young professionals and empty nesters move in(which it does).

[missymomof3]

Originally Posted by stx12499

Missy, I mean this as no offense, but where you live is not even remotely comprable to the city's urban areas inside I-264, especially, the highly educated areas east of I-65. Educated, high income people have less children. It's a census defined fact and censusdata has reiterated it above. I don't believe there is a single census tract west of I-65 with a median income above 60k or bachelor's degree attainment above 30%. So as he said, an area like the original highlands may actually have flat popuation growth but millions in rehab and new condo construction as young professionals and empty nesters move in(which it does).

Even so, it still isn't OVER. It may be over for a certain demographic but it will never be over. Quite frankly I am glad to be in an area nothing like inside the watterson.

[stx12499]

Originally Posted by missymomof3

Even so, it still isn't OVER. It may be over for a certain demographic but it will never be over. Quite frankly I am glad to be in an area nothing like inside the watterson.

To each her own That dichotomy is part of what makes this city dynamic.

[missymomof3]

Originally Posted by stx12499

To each her own That dichotomy is part of what makes this city dynamic.

That is true

[bw87a]

i can't wait to get inside the watterson!

[missymomof3]

Originally Posted by bw87a

i can't wait to get inside the watterson!

Where ya headed?